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People in the Tesla community are now calling FSD Fairytale Self Driving -- mainly on account of it being promised to provide 'robotaxi' service since 2019. Clearly, the problem of characterizing the road environment, projecting future paths, and selecting a suitable path ahead is a much more difficult problem than initially thought.

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FSD beta 10.10.2 is very impressive. Have you been in a car that has the beta software installed?

They are getting pretty close to robotaxis 90% of environments. The software feels like it could be used as a robotaxi in rural environments right now.

It’s good they are able to target those demographics a few years later then advertised that will have a large uptake in participation.

I dont get it, so the timeline was wrong. Are you a software developer. Have you never missed your estimates?

Estimating software is very hard. Now imagine you're a publicly traded company, the whole world is watching you, and short sellers are piling on. You are trying to fix model 3 supply chain problems etc and at the same time designing rockets that land themselves.

I think they deserve a pass on the estimates. Tesla will get to L4 first

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