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> I'd say 2035-2040 until we see politicians in the democratic states make decisions that are painful for citizens and effective enough to notably slow the destruction.

I sincerely doubt there will be any meaningful democracies left by 2040 :) People always trend towards strong leaders and authoritarianism in the face of crisis, and there will be oh so many crises...

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I don’t doubt you, but I’d like to know the history of your statement. Which democracies became authoritarian regimes, and for which crisis?

Mussolini, Hitler, Trump (almost), Venezuela... and of course, Russia.

Additionally, much of the modern conservative movement (around the world) is centered around personality worship and anti-democratization of power structures and are trying very hard to move their democracies toward autocracy favoring a cultural or ethnic in-group.

Wikipedia has a much more extensive list, along with various things that contribute to it:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_backsliding

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