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To add to this, I would suggest that if Altman were able to predict the future, he wouldn't be betting so hard on the idiotic/alarming WorldCoin boondoggle, nor would his previous startup have failed.

The only thing he seems to have succeeded at is convincing Paul Graham he should lead YC.

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I think the idea of YC is not to make safe bets, but to bet on projects with low probability of success, but with huge potential gains. In that light Altman's bets on failed projects doesn't reflect bad on his ability to predict.

One guy who makes grandiose predictions about the future convinced another guy who pretends to be a philosopher. It's the blind leading the blind. In truth, they both just make bets as any gambler does.

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