If that is all they are worried about then they are not paying attention. There is a fairly large chance of a much larger war and the economy may well be the least of your problems.
Depending on which institute you track the current estimates looking 12 months out are between 5 and 10%. So I think you should update your assumptions.
For instance:
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3810284-theres-a-10-change-of-...
I educate myself about nuclear and general War situation.
Oh, and who ends up winning elections and whether people where I live buy Russian propaganda is suddenly important, so I opposed that instead of being silent and keeping good relationships.
Also, Russia's rockets still seem to be working pretty well as evidenced by the fact that they were used to send American astronauts to space for the last 10 years[1].
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soyuz_(rocket_family)#ISS_crew...
Besides, a nuclear attack would already be covered under the much larger war mentioned, which is something that was deemed less concerning.
The direct damage would be massive but not civilization-destroying.
The higher income class is de facto in power in our democracies. No conspiracy here, just a class phenomenon. The poor don't vote ; the popular and middle classes tend to elect people from the higher income class. Their economic success give them credits for handling things.
The higher income class doesn't care about 1/ the health of people 2/ if the wages are enough to have a modest but at leat descent life 3/ the environment
They care about 1/ their own wealth, health 2/ having no social constraints whatsoever (in the name of freedom, which is a right for all but they are the ones who have the means to act as free persons) 3/ order: they want a super policed society. So the poor are over-repressed by the police but they escape the law (connections, bribery, very good lawyers).
On climate disruption and biodiversity annihilation, our "elite" reveals that they don't even care for their grandchildren. The 0.1%, the top of the income elite, do care and buy large pieces of land in New Zealand with 100% self-sustainable houses and food production. And armed security and heliports.