It might be greater than 0% but is he really saying there is a “fairly large chance” Russia nukes every major city on Earth?
Also, Russia's rockets still seem to be working pretty well as evidenced by the fact that they were used to send American astronauts to space for the last 10 years[1].
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soyuz_(rocket_family)#ISS_crew...