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It's like everyone is afraid of stopping the bully beating up on a weak kid because the bully also threatens to respond to intervention with a gun.

Yet the bully also knows if they actually use the gun they'll be put down like a feral dog before they have time to reload.

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That's a terrible analogy, nuclear weapons are more akin to everyone being armed with grenades and trapped in the same room. You're going to get hit no matter what so as soon as one person pulls a pin their target is going to do the same and everyone is getting hit by shrapnel.

No that’s not quite right. Nobody is going to do anything if the bully shoots the weak kid.

So if Russian nukes Ukraine no one will respond militarily?

Probably not?

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