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Sadly I agree. Its also why I'm not too concerned that my n1 wont get a supported upgrade - I'll be needing a device that's down where the users are to dev & test. Ics will have to wait a bit.

Unfortunately I suspect you're right.

That's highly doubtful. After the source is available the full transition to the new OS by all manufacturers, even the cheap ones, seems to take about 6 months. Gingerbread source was released last December and there were no Froyo devices being sold by summer.

>there were no Froyo devices being sold by summer

What? There are still Froyo devices being sold now, as described in the article we are currently discussing:

That’s because every US carrier is still selling - even just now introducing - smartphones that will almost certainly never run Gingerbread and beyond.

Example: http://reviews.cnet.com/smartphones/huawei-impulse-4g-at/450...

Stores are filled with Froyo Tablets & Phones. Not like a year ago. But still lots.