No.
Intuition: predicting the outcome of a coin flip correctly 50% of the time is unimpressive, but predicting the outcome of a D20 dice roll correctly 50% of the time is incredibly impressive.
Recession or not is binary, but that doesn't mean we have a 50% chance of entering one on a given day.
That doesn't include false negatives of course. Actuals vs positive predictions tells you nothing interesting.
If recessions happened every other financial quarter then the outcome would be binary. But historically recessions not that common; they happen in less than 1 in 20 financial quarters. So the D20 analogy is actually something of an understatement.
So it’s like predicting that you’ll roll a 1 on a die. Flipping a coin for your prediction would say you’ll roll the 1 50% of the time, which is obviously wrong.