Russia warns NATO-member Lithuania over Kaliningrad transit

Well, I guess this kind of trivialization of the situation is the culprit in the elite's delusional thinking. Of cause, invading other countries is not "ok", and by the same logic and the same intensity of moral force, it is not "ok" to engage in policies that one knows very well will provoke others to "invade" (use force in any other way).

Hence, I do consider such "game theory" ideas impotent and not a valid starting point for formulating policies that will cost young people their lives if one misreads situation (or is not committed to use force). One has to be serious to the utmost here.

So back to my question, is there any rational, strategic justification for this? What is the goal? What is intended/presumed reaction of RU to this? How is this leading to peace (or which block of peaceful future resolution does this build upon?)

That's what I said back in 2003. (and 2001, and 1999, and 2011, and 2012, and 1965, ........ )