There is ample evidence before of people predicting pretty much everything that happened (with the exception of the bizarre transfer devices that evolved out of staking, tethering, contracts, etc.).

I think smugness is 100% warranted, especially given the intensity of the attacks from the other side.

Even your smugness with, "Well, if you're so smart why didn't you short and make a mint," is just sour grapes. Because shorting crypto required even more effed up investments into highly sketchy exchanges. There was really nothing to short in the traditional investment sense.