Did you actually do an experiment? This seems simple enough to run a quick experiment and see which one works better.
You had all the knowledge needed to solve the problem, you just chose the wrong approach :)
You had all the knowledge needed to solve the problem, you just chose the wrong approach :)
The article goes into the difficulties in analysing out-of-equilibrium systems (both experimentally and theoretically).
Btw, I have seen similar experiments in really cold climates, where a cup of hot water thrown freezes immediately, but cold water does not.
Anyways, I am always one for running the experiments :)
IIRC this is because the surface tension of hot water is significantly lower, so the thrown hot water disintegrates into much smaller droplets, which freeze more quickly.