3 Misconceptions That Need to Die
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That number is small comfort. Petroleum is fungible. Thanks to the arbitrage guys, a barrel of oil sells for one price worldwide. That means that a severe shortage in one oil-exporting country can have large effects on the price of oil everywhere else.
I don't have enough expertise to argue with the other claims, but if the author misses an important point like the fungibility of commodities, then I will be agnostic about the rest of the article.
Oil is fungible because of US govt policy.
The US govt could decide that oil doesn't leave the Western Hemisphere. A lot of folks would be upset by such a policy but they lack the means to change it.