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> The Taiwan situation is interesting but ultimately China knows they won't be able to take Taiwan by force without extreme consequences - nor would it be easy.

Is there a reason to be sure they are this rational? Some people just get mad and kill others just for sake of "honour" as their weird philosophy defines it, no matter the consequences.

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Indeed, I feel many are betting on rationality coming on top and that simply makes no sense to me.

For example, does it seem like the Russian public is rational in any way? There are many approving of the 'denazification' rhetoric in Ukraine. Since the CCP has been pushing the narrative that Taiwan is China, it's somewhat of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Meanwhile, believing what do politicians say is among the most absurdly irrational acts possible. It is a well known fact lying and manipulating is their everyday job. Historically this has been especially intense and well known in Russia. To me it seems really weird and fascinating there still are people trusting politicians in Russia.

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