Kurzweil in 2002 made $20,000 bet that a difficult, well defined 2h version of Turing test will by passed by 2029.

https://longbets.org/1/

Given development in language models in the last 2 years he may have a decent chance at winning that bet.

People give him 65% chance [0] and by now there are only 7 years left.

[0] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/computer-passes-tur...