If major providers such as Gmail/Microsoft/etc agreed to require DMARC for all incoming email senders, then maybe 5 years later we could speak about this again because then DMARC would be universally used.
I'm really surprised no hackers have started sending out phishes via spoofed CloudWatch alerts yet. I guess it takes a while for them to capitalize on industrial vulnerabilities.
Even though it’s be relevant form as systems-thinking point of view, it’s pretty unfair to dismiss a solution because it will be vulnerable to very important pieces of Internet network infrastructure. I think it’s safe to say that if we get a sufficiently bad vulnerability in DNS or BGP, account confirmation emails are going to be least of our worries.
Additionally “any novel spoofing attack” is a very hand-wavy, low effort way to dismiss it as well.
I think the suggested flow is a valid idea to discuss, even though at the end of the day it's still a bad idea (others have formulated a lot of valid criticism that I agree with). But I find your criticism to be unfair, as it also applies to the traditional flow and should rather be a reason not to use email at all (begging the question: What secure alternative should be used?).