I think we're seeing people take early retirement (and some increase in mortality/disability) and the higher than usual vacancies they're leaving create an effect where people get hired or promoted into those spaces. The ones who get promoted then leave a vacancy at the lower levels for other to jump into. The increase in wages over the past couple years is enticing people jump around, which I believe is creating a lot of inefficiency (along with potential burnout), which is leading to companies increasing headcount to try to make up for it, while exacerbating the labor supply issues.
But who knows...
The staffing issues at the lower level of society mean that the wages are actually going up - I make 15/hr and could ask for more. (I don't plan on staying long term so I probably WON'T, but I'd get it). Which is around 31k/yr compared to the 50k I was making (unlike most people here, I don't work in tech - I might change that, I don't know). It's doable short-term with some savings as a cushion while I mentally recuperate and lets me be picky about what I jump into next.
The types of jobs that are hemorrhaging people are office jobs paying in the mid 5 figures in my experience, and one component is that now those people can walk and pick up a job in the service industry and not completely lose everything. A 20% paycut is easier to swallow than a 60-70% one.
We've also gotten good at reducing our expenses.
And it's a job I can leave at work, where I very immediately have an impact on people, and don't hate people after every shift. Before, I was working in political/civics communications.
Which is why I'm taking my time figuring out what to do next. I don't want to jump into another pressure cooker.
In 2020 I was thinking in buying a bigger house at some point, but COVID made me realize that I can be very happy with a more modest lifestyle and that it's just not worth sacrifising my health and joy to have more money in the bank and/or a fancier house when I die. It seems obvious, I know, but it took a global pandemic for me to realise it ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
(*) I decided years ago to live well below my means and only buy a property if I could pay off in less than 8 years, rather than a fancy house that would require me to take a 20-30 years morgage. Best decision of my life.
But this can't be the sole reason. For one thing it is hard to monetise asset prices to get cashflow. But the truth is it is one gigantic puzzle in the macro economics world and you just have to read some central banker transcripts to see how perplexed they are by the entire thing.