Maybe my cardiologist is just trying to make me feel good, but he says my leads will likely last 30-50 years. Intuitively that seems unlikely, but we'll see. It's got to be one of the most engineered cables in existence.
The leadless pacemakers are indeed a technical marvel, but they aren't yet nearly as feature packed as shoulder implanted devices. They'll keep your heart from stopping if your nerves are flaky from time to time, but they don't have the energy storage to do much more than that. Mine monitors every single beat my heart takes, and automatically reports issues to my doctor via BLE. (Is bluetooth more or less scary than radioactive isotopes mounted in your body?)
For about 8 months, my AV nerves were completely broken, and the pacemaker paced my ventricles 100% of the time. It was a nearly perfect drop-in replacement for the failed nerves. A leadless pacemaker wouldn't have had nearly the same performance. My nerves eventually started mostly working again, and now I'm on track to have a battery life pushing 15 years.
It would of course be great for the technology to advance even more over the next decade. Since my nerves mostly healed, a leadless device with a 30+ year battery life would be a nice replacement. With a shorter battery life, I don't really want to be collecting them in my heart (they don't plan to remove leadless pacemakers when they die.) I'm hoping by the time my current device is worn out, it will have logged enough telemetry for me to convince my cardiologist that I don't need a pacemaker at all, though.