This will make you less likely to want the new expensive Iphone, especially if you were going to finance the purchase, so as Iphone sales plumit, there will be less of a chip shortage since supply now meets demand.
Why would they start QE? Fed rate is at 4% right now, there's more than enough room to drop rates if an issue occurs.
Given the data however, its unlikely to happen. We're currently at record employment levels. The expectation is for the rate to keep going up to maybe 4.5% next year, and finally that's when inflation is quelled, and we taper off rates sometime next year.
Of course, we need to keep up with economic data and see if these rate hikes have the desired effects.
Right but that will also increase demand and induce more inflation, no? So Fed will be perpetually stuck, in theory at least, to find a balance in their dual mandates.
The big guns is Congress, not the Fed. Possibly the President if you consider things like averting the big Railroad Union strike last week (which would have certainly caused more inflation as shipping costs could have gone up).
Lots of little fires happening around the country. The fed has one lever: interest rates. Congress / President has the other levers.
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Still though: we watch the Fed because the prime rate has a large effect on the value of investments, especially in the question of stocks vs bonds. Its important for the individual investor to follow.
A recession will occur if they overshoot, however.
When you choose to get a loan you're pumping a few hundred thousand that was leveraged into existence into multiple industries that gets distributed into the economy, that gets distributed to hundreds of people working.
When you choose just to just buy an iphone, that's $1000ish your spending of your own money.