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Comment by snek_case | Hacker News Reader

It's not just a matter of different modalities. It's still a matter of sophistication.

The end game is endless generative music or video streaming customized to your preferences. Being able to describe a story, or having the AI model take a guess at what you mind find interesting/entertaining and generating a whole TV show or movie for you to watch. Or generating background music while you work and automatically adjusting to your tastes as well as adjusting if you're finding it hard to concentrate or you need to take a call.

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Except it wont be, will it. Such things were promised for the internet and we had maybe a good 10 years or so before corps caught up and told us what to watch through their channels.

I imagine this being much of the same: AI trained on corp-approved training sets to give suggestions to your preferences that they want.

Sure, you could spin up your own and buy a machine that trains on it's own training data, but watch how no one will do that because of the cost, or the diminishing access to untainted resources.

It's going to be akin to content creation on youtube, perhaps even just people using youtube as their distribution medium. Anyone can make a youtube video but we don't see everyone creating content.

We should see a proliferation of the tech such that lots of small (even one-man) studios pop up pumping out high quality content, but the content is released on a schedule similar to how youtube videos are now. Your preferences come into play through your suggested watch list, it'll be populated from this pre-created media based on whatever preference machine learning algorithm the distribution platform (youtube?) decides. The feedback through watch-metrics will then be used by these micro studios to decide what to create next. It's basically what already happens now with youtube content creation, but the quality of what people will produce will be better than hollywood content movies / tv shows, and the pace of release will be much quicker.

Not everyone needs to be training and generating their own content in order for your content preferences to be absolutely saturated with things you'd enjoy watching.

This seems like a weird take to me. We just saw Stable Diffusion land, an open-source community-trained SOTA model. There is an open reimplemented version of GPT.

How is the correct extrapolation that corps will control all content generation?

Sure, Google will always be an OOM or two (more?) ahead in terms of compute dedicated to the problem. And so the best-quality stuff will likely come from big corps; Netflix (or their successor) will have the best quality video-generation AI. That is how it always has been though; movies are heavily capital intensive.

But this tech raises the quality of hobbyist-generated content vs. highly-capitalized studio content. So I think it’s reasonable to extrapolate to even more content at the long tail, instead of consolidation.

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