And that’s my optimistic projection. It could be we have amazing output in 24 months.
A bunch of fields would be simultaneously impacted. From computational physics to 3D animation (if you have a 3D renderer and video generator, you can compose both). While it's not completely unfounded to extrapolate that progress will be as fast as with everything prior, consequences would be a lot more profound while complexities are much compounded. I down weight accordingly even though I'd actually prefer to be wrong.
10 years ago: https://karpathy.github.io/2012/10/22/state-of-computer-visi...
Now: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2204.13807
Given that this is what makes photos and videos interesting I think it's still a while before artists are automated.