I think this all comes from the biggest thing that I think a lot of people fail to grasp and that is just how crazy complex the world actually is, we reduce things so much to make it easy to describe and communicate but the amount of factors happening that we have little or no idea about is crazy, far more than we can comprehend, so often people reduce there success down to a few soundbites or advise to someone else.
The thing that drove this home for me was when I heard 'there are even more possible variations of chess games than there are atoms in the observable universe', Chess is a small board, with a few pieces that have clearly defined allowed moves and yet it becomes crazily complex, if a small game board is like that, what about an entire planet with pieces (people/environment) that we do not understand.