(Not legal advice)
(Not legal advice)
-- commonly attributed to Napoleon
But of course it would take much longer than a month to extradite him anyhow, so the most likely explanation is that they haven't had time to decide if they have enough evidence to extradite him, let alone to do it.
(IANAL)
Let him keep his passport and there's every chance he'll just turn up of his own volition to speak at a conference, give an interview, or pitch a new venture.
I don't think a jury would look kindly on playing so dirty with someone who posed no clear threat and didn't even seem to be on the run. And I don't think it would be right to either, until there's enough evidence to bring charges, he's presumed to be an innocent man in the eyes of the law. (We are of course free to come to our own judgement as individuals.)
All he's doing is giving interviews. Even if he's lying through his teeth (as I believe he is) - it's still his 1A right to do so.
But it's not clear to me that donating to campaigns in a handful of election cycles buys you very much influence within the DoJ. Influencing politicians in order to impact the nomination of judges or other appointees, or to pass certain laws - those are clear mechanisms, but they take many election cycles to implement. It seems to me like SBF's influence campaign was successfully building good will for the crypto legislation he supported, but that FTX/Alameda blew up before that could come to fruition.
I expect his donations to be largely neutral to his potential prosecution but am open to reporting surfacing facts to the contrary.
For a), SBF has become a dirty name and politicians don't have cover to do anything blatantly favorable to him.
For b), any money he might have touched is under intense scrutiny, especially if it makes its way to a politician. Ironically, his best hope might be if he had untraceably moved money into cryptocurrency, especially stablecoins.
given how crypto attracts illegal activity i wonder if he cheated people who prefer to not get their justice through the legal system...