How would you evaluate your priors if he is prosecuted, convicted and then given a presidential pardon?
I'd go online to see if I could find someone to take a wager on that, but that's such easy money I doubt I'd get odds worth it.
I'd lay $1000 against that happening, and I don't have $1000 to spend lightly.
Then again, I try not to tempt those that should not be tempted.