To be clear, there is a certain fuzziness in timeframes, and he mentions that, but in general, the timing he mentions is scarily accurate.
One thing that I saw earlier this year was Sri Lanka. Many others will follow in various levels of degradation over the coming years.
It is a very interesting read, I highly recommend. The guy knows a lot and it has lots of interesting information.
But I am not convinced. I think his approach is just too American, in particular, when it comes to China. I am not American and, sometimes, his jingoism is just too much.
Like Germany cannot produce enough ammo because it depends on cotton from China.
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/Germany-struggl...
US onshoring cotton production.