You have to look at both sides of the equation. There are excess deaths in every region coinciding with Covid spikes. It takes enormous mental gymnastics to say “some deaths were over counted so deaths as a whole must be over counted” and completely discount the probability of missing deaths too.

The recent Paxlovid study supports this. It reduces deaths days 30-90. Deaths that would not be counted as Covid deaths. But they clearly are if paxlovid reduces them.