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No, they forced iOS16 by only backporting security fixes for devices that can't run iOS16

No, i think they are just messing up the devices force using iOS16 they think they can get away with. iPad Pro (2021) get iOS 15.7.2 update.

How long do you think people will be able to stay on old versions of software like iOS 15? 5 years? 10 years? 30 years? Their lifetime?

This is exactly why I avoid iPhones and prefer to support GNU/Linux on the phones. Such phones will have a lifetime support without anti-features.

I get what you're saying about staying on an old version, but, and we can split hairs here, preventing downgrade is in effect a forced upgrade.

Ideally, there should be a system where security patches are installed, but anythingv what is optional and reversible