TheNewVote

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5 pointsbisceglie4 comments

It would be more interesting if the results converged even a little bit to the results of credible polls. I know Obama's leading by a margin... but 95/2/3 (Dem,Rep,Ind)?

It's a neat idea with a nice implementation, but the selection bias that's going on make the polling outcome very nearly meaningless.

Yeah - either it needs to have so much volume that it's representative, or they need to include some kind of demographic to stop the results getting skewed.

As a mechanism it's an interesting idea. There are probably other twitter-ish aggregation start-up ideas that you might be able to get out of this.... e.g. send an sms/mms and it's posted as "news" for that geographic area. You could then aggregate news for relevance for a given area (e.g. local, state, national, world).

In fairness, I think if you average this poll and Fox News together it comes out about right.

Fox News has Obama +9 Associated Press has Obama +1.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/ge...

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