Why hundreds of thousands of kids in the US dread their 21st birthdays
cnn.com
cnn.com
This is bad even from the most hardcore selfish, anti-immigrant position: you want people moving in when they're educated and young, not when they're a decade or less away from retirement.
One of my reports, an engineer from Chennai, doesn’t want to renew his H1B in two years time and is considering either working from our office in Bangalore or beginning a startup in India. The dynamics have changed in the country. The startup scene and the maturity of mobile networks has made India a far more attractive place to live and work than it did 10 years ago.
Most developed nations are going to regret the end of this brain drain.
I was on a contract in Switzerland in 2020 and while the pay was awesome, it wasn't sustainable - permanent employees in the same company make around 2-2.5x of what I do back home, but the cost of living (especially real estate) is 3-4x, so I have no incentive to migrate there.
I mean, Switzerland is nice, just not that nice when you're an immigrant.
I don't recall anyone from my former team staying either, despite getting job offers.
Good luck trying that in the US.
Side-note: Having watched a number of "Benefits Britain" episodes recently, I realized that the main reason why the Swiss insist on a permit (for which a job is necessary - or a lot of money) is because certain folks from the East would immediately come and take advantage of the benefits system, as they did in the UK before Brexit.
This behaviour was so alien to me that initially I did not understand the permit situation - why have it if I get it "automatically"? That's why.
I'm sure they exist, but it sounds like such a weird reason to go, considering the abundance of jobs and generally better labour laws in the west.
They haven't, but they could.
Part of why I think the term "rights" is unhelpful, it comes with moral associations that makes people (me included) feel unclean when peering behind the metaphorical curtain and examining how such things function in practice.
That will reduce the amount of fraudulent applications, making way for more honest (and higher quality) applicants.
And naturally there are going to be a higher number of immigrants from countries that have a bigger disparity in quality of life, career prospects, etc.
That it isn’t that the best and brightest chose not to stay. It’s that the society and system constantly put up all the wrong barriers and left them no choice if they wanted to actually realize their potential.
I can only speak of (south) India of the 80s before the economy was opened up, and there was basically no tolerance for anyone who thought differently. People were stopped by all the wrong obstacles. Bureaucracies, bribes, an unnecessarily closed market. And that’s just market forces, before we get to societal forces. If you dared to veer off the usual path, you were often ostracized. Silly caste based judgements and such.
That India lost its best and brightest for decades is a tragedy. And I am truly happy to see the tremendous progress that has come in the last 3 decades.
But I hold nothing against NRIs (Non-resident Indians like my parents) who were willing to pick up their very comfortable lives and start from scratch in a new land, rather than to put up with a system that had failed them for decades. We’ve battled homesickness, culture shocks, the constant tug of war that is immigrant identity, and other such things, to arrive at where we are.
It’s the reason why I can nearly instantly relate with immigrants from any country before I can relate fully to those that have never immigrated in either land.
With remote work did you really lose them ?
Most of the smart folks (engineers or otherwise) who would’ve targeted the US don’t consider it any more. For software folks, Bangalore/Hyderabad/Gurgaon offer salaries which are objectively the best outside NY/CA/Seattle.
The current visa process is an insult to talented people. There is no need to go through that mental torture, there are way better options available.
Keep in mind that If I want to hire: A smart graduate from EPFL, Polytechnique or ETH Zurich who interned at CERN and has contributed to the Linux kernel for a software engineering job at a unicorn startup or
A grad from a second tier "technical college" in India with a visa refusal rate of ~90% for a job doing manual UI testing and QA for a body shop [0].
my only path forward is H1. They'll both be listed as "computer related occupations" and apply for the same visa in the same quota. Does that make any sense to anyone?
Of course, my odds of getting a lottery spot for the former are dramatically lower, since we all know body shops and consulting firms won't hesitate to file 4-5 applications per seat they plan to fill out (so one can hopefully get a spot in the lottery and not get any RFE).
Let's be real for a moment here: if the people applying fraudulently were to simply respect the law and only use these visas for real specialty occupations the backlog would clear itself in a few years.
Thankfully, the previous administration started issuing more RFEs and catching fraudulent applicants [1].
[0] https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/silicon-valleys-body-s...
[1] https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-h-1b_b_5890d86ce4b0522c...
There are of course hardcore anti-immigrant people who advocate for the latter. That position is generally founded openly on sentimental nationalism and/or racism because it doesn’t make any economic sense.
Maybe net each one of these young people against a proposed H1B slot.
The complete lack of logic of the anti-knowledge worker immigrant position never ceases to amuse me.
Having an opinion on Asian immigration policy isn't inherently racist. Racism can influence opinions in a way that leads to bad policy.
To answer your question, I have to evaluate each argument separately for stupidity or racism. An example stupid argument is that it depresses wages for people who are already here. An example racist argument calls out educated non-white immigration in particular.
Irsaeel doesn’t allow non-jewish immigration. Is that because jews are racist?
Immigration is so bad for white people the only reason to support it is if you personally benefit (understandable) or you hate white people (unacceptable). So which one is it in your case?
Why would any country not want the fruits of 40+ years of labor from the examples of the people in the article?
Compared to say Afghanistan maybe, but compared to other developed countries, not really. Political gridlock for most of the time, and a two party system that practically guarantees a constant back and forth with the ones currently in power spending most of their time to undo what the previous ones did during their time in power.
> high trust society (at least for day to day interactions)
That's not the impression i get from the people screaming they need to carry weapons to feel safe.
> but the biggest weakness going forward is a smaller proportion of young workers.
Today's young workers in the US (but that's not in any way a US specific phenomenon) feel that many things that were normal for the previous generation (e.g. home ownership) are simply out of reach. Adding more young people without fixing the underlying issues causing the already existing ones to struggle hard is not going to make anything better.
This sounds like the definition of stable. But what I actually meant by stable is where you can reasonably expect legal decisions and regulations to be predictable and hence plan around-able. Contrasted to a place where you have to pay unknown bribes to shifting allegiances, etc.
>That's not the impression i get from the people screaming they need to carry weapons to feel safe.
I would bet 90% of Americans do not go to sleep worrying about safety, or choosing to carry guns all the time because of it. But the high trust I was talking about was for things like being able to trust the plumber you called knows his stuff, or that you will get paid on your regular payday, or the food and medicine you buy will be as advertised.
> Today's young workers in the US (but that's not in any way a US specific phenomenon) feel that many things that were normal for the previous generation (e.g. home ownership) are simply out of reach.
Prices are a function of supply and demand. The US is not lacking in supply of land, but maybe it is lacking in supply of land near desirable regions experiencing economic growth. Old people are not going to be able to develop the land into homes, nor are they going to spur economic growth. Young people raising children does that.
> Adding more young people without fixing the underlying issues causing the already existing ones to struggle hard is not going to make anything better.
Adding young people, especially qualified young people who produce things people want, especially outside the country’s borders, is exactly what would make things better. It would increase demand for products and services, without increasing debt.
Is this not stability?
No? Maybe one could claim it results in some sort of equilibrium, but radically changing policy on important topics such as environmental protection, corporation taxes, infrastructure, etc. every 4 years is not stability. Not to mention that every topic becomes an instant partisan issue - if one party says something is good, the other has to fight against it, regardless of merits.
I don’t want to dive too deeply into this, as it isn’t the heart of your comment - but I do want to say that as someone who carries a firearm every day, it’s not because I feel unsafe. Rather, it’s because I see it as my responsibility to maintain that safety, not the responsibility of someone else (i.e., police).
It’s based in ideology, not inadequate governance.
They can come back with a H1B visa to pay taxes in the US. I bet a lot of them could even qualify for residency in Canada, an even better opportunity for them with more reasonable immigration policies.
Forty-two percent of California's workers in science, technology, engineering and math occupations were born in a foreign nation
Digging deeper, we see that 20.7% of foreign born with bachelor's degrees are in STEM occupations compared with 11.4% for similarly educated USA born
As of 2017, over 40 percent of the U.S. doctoral-level workforce was foreign-born. In computer sciences, mathematics, and engineering, nearly 60 percent of PhD holders in the U.S. workforce are foreign-born
What happens when these people start to go home? Why don't American kids want to prepare themselves for these high-paying jobs?
The US can very well be home for someone born elsewhere. It would be wrong to assume that those people are somehow just temporarily staying.
I’d imagine the group of foreign-born people who are in the US on time-limited or otherwise precarious visas is a lot smaller.
If you're international getting a bachelors you need to find a company willing to sponsor when you graduate so it makes a lot more sense to pursue a STEM degree that is in high demand to employers.
For graduate students their is compounding pressure because getting a PhD allows the student to stay in the USA while they obtain the degree and STEM degrees qualify for the STEM OPT extension so instead of only having 1 year of work authorization post graduation you have 3 years. If the goal is to stay in the USA permanently it really doesn't make any sense to pursue a non STEM grad degree.
I don't have any commentary on whether the way the system is set up makes sense but I don't think it's just a case of American kids don't want to study these subjects rather theirs intense immigration pressure on international students to funnel them into STEM subjects.
We try to do this in the Netherlands. But it doesn't work because nobody wants to send back Western assimilated people back to the barbarian lands.
Are you implying there are actually "shithole countries"?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remittances_from_the_United_St...
The system is working exactly the way the people with the most guns want it to.
At 20, you can't drink in the US. I don't think you can buy nicotine, and probably can't buy weed in legal places.
Do they still deny rental cars to 20-year-olds, either outright or through fees too high for most 20-year-olds? Is this still even if their car insurance says they get a rental? Do some hotels still deny young folks lodging?
Sexual development, ability to bear children? Mid teens for most, earlier for some.
Completed puberty, full height? Mid to late teens.
Finished the fastest phase of brain development? Mid-20s.
Even if you want a biological standard, there's still plenty of subjectivity and many of these markers are quite a bit earlier or later than people would be comfortable with.
Given that, I think it's fine to focus instead on legal or social aspects of adulthood. And full legal adulthood in the US has been 21 for some time and it seems to me that like my country, the social definition of adulthood is the end of full time education (including in my lifetime undergraduate education being considered an extension of childhood education)
>Sexual development, ability to bear children? Mid teens for most, earlier for some.
Let's say 15
>Completed puberty, full height? Mid to late teens.
Let's say 18
>Finished the fastest phase of brain development? Mid-20s.
Let's say 25
The average of 15, 18, and 25 is 19.3
Couldn’t drink (outside Louisiana) and legal weed wasn’t even a thing.
Hell, I was jumping out of airplanes in the army when I was 17.
Seems relatively “adult” to me.
Adult is realistically mix of how society treats you and your development.
I think at this point, especially with the massive layoffs in tech and the high back up for even renewals and thus precarious situation with H1-N visa holders, it's probably worth exploring a market-place for residence/citizenship via contractional marriage with prenuptial agreements. The situation is becoming more dire and the thought of losing more US raised talent due to such an absurd situation like a backlog of application renewals demands that tech disrupt this monolith.
> As someone living in a northern European welfare state, I'll just say what a shitshow the US is
I agree, but the truth is that EU/CH isn't much better either. There is a large stigma of German professionals, specifically physicians, coming to Switzerland 'taking all the jobs' when most Swiss who do attend university don't even study medicine to fill the roles they require in most cantons.
And then try and come into Switzerland as a professional that conflicts with te Swiss population if you're from a less desirable country like Czech Republic, Hungary or Slovakia--there is a large Croatian population in Switzerland due to the diaspora after the collapse of Yugoslavia, but one of my predictions is how they will delay things for those who want to come and enter Schengen next week.
And I'm not even going to go into the quota situation because its murky, and varies from canton to canton.
But honestly, it's an absurd system that as the article outlines is ultimately upheld with bi-partisan support in the US, which means that their is no alternative has been the maxim for far too long with no change in sight despite the massive shortfalls of talented professionals in a post COVID World.
What does the EU-Switzerland immigration situation have to do with Northern European welfare states?
That particular person is.
I think the whole point of immigration is that it should be decided on an individual case. Giving a nursing grad a visa sounds like a great idea, but should all children of visa holders be given visas? I think there should be a few requirements.
This is visa fraud, and the consequences for citizens involved in these stunts is prison and heavy fines.
It's not even because of dumb racism, as the article highlights through the woman of Northern Irish descent who's white as can be; this is due to an arbitrary definition of "foreign" which I don't think any reasonable person would apply to someone who's lived in their country since they were 3.
On the other hand, I wonder what some of their parents were thinking.
Their children should definitely get a visa or even the ability to apply for citizenship, but the parents knew what problems their kids face once they become adults. Perhaps those waiting on the green card program couldn't have known because the huge wait times weren't a problem when they first arrived and they simply couldn't have known, but for those on temporary visas with no chance to get their children citizenship, they could and should have known. For decades they let their kids work towards an impossible future.
Until immigration policies get fixed, I think it's incredibly unfair towards these children to be forced to go through this. I don't know what parents were expecting to happen when they took their young kids into a country they knew they couldn't stay in, but I can't help but feel they're part of the problem. I don't expect the problem to disappear any time soon either, with Trump aiming at a second presidency and (close enough to) half the American voting population still voting conservatively.
So first: you forget laws changed over the time these kids grew up. It used to be the case that just physically being in a country for 5-10 years used to be enough to get citizenship. Including in the US. Kids already here were not grandfathered into the old rules.
So don't be too hard on these parents. The parents simply trusted that the state would actually follow the laws (which of course means NOT CHANGING THOSE LAWS, at least not for people already here). Yes trusting the state is a mistake. A big one. We've both had trouble getting into universities. We've also had trouble, for example, with youth services. Because a teacher that one kid had a conflict with reported them, after she (the kid) pointed out that she had in fact lived in a particular country, and she was pretty damn sure NZ was in fact in Asia/Australia, not in Europe. Plus that the local habits are in fact only marginally different from the US, that what she said was total bullshit. This is, apparently, a more serious situation than TWO kids getting arrested in the same school for dealing drugs. But yeah I get it: you can't trust the state. I don't know or understand what child protective services is for, what twisted logic they follow, but it sure as hell isn't protecting children. Man, actually seeing one such institution ... seeing the kids in there ... WTF.
We were eventually forced to get the kids into a private school. Was that racism? I'm not even 100% sure. I think it was 90% that the teacher was a vengeful moron, totally unfit to teach children (not just for not knowing, but first and foremost for letting a conflict with a 7 year old get out of hand AND thoroughly make a fool of herself in the process, and not just once) and 10% racism. And, of course, CPS "hunting" healthy kids, and actively avoiding kids with actual problems (such details like, oh, getting caught with drugs at 13 years old. Those kids they actually avoid talking to)
These days: if you want a decent job, a decent life, you will have fight against the state. School/the education system was never anyone's friend in my experience, but right now the relationships are outright adversarial. Schools, even private ones, cannot be trusted to give correct information about education opportunities to children (not saying private ones aren't 100x better, but they're not 100% accurate). They also purposefully create conflicts now, I don't even understand WHY. Immigration is just one aspect of that. Racism is the real fight: as pointed out in the article, getting into a decent school and then university, or even later figuring out which professors and employers/customers can be trusted, despite more and more racism is the tougher fight. Immigration is making sure a whole lot of forms are filled in 100% correctly at 10 different government offices, perfectly on time, and NEVER TRUSTING WHAT GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES SAY. Because some are actively trying to "advise" you into making a huge mistake. Always has been.
We are still in the situation that if these kids can find a good job, they will be allowed to stay, and be able get citizenship in time if they want to. Of course that the laws deteriorated to this point is not a good sign, but what are you going to do, other than trust the state that has betrayed you already? You have no choice.
But are these parents to blame? To some extent, I guess. They trusted the state's word. Big mistake. But I wouldn't worry too much about 95% of these kids. See what's happening to the health system. Education. Police forces. Give it 20 years and they will definitely not be the biggest victims of trusting the state, even if they do get asked to leave.
It sounds as if Anglo uber alles sensibilities trumped understanding here.
I do find it amusing that you made assumption of my intent to the negative, but an assumption of the GPs intent to the positive, both without any evidence.
I do wonder why though. Is it because it doesn't generate any new discussion and just attracts flame wars ?
"No, it's not our responsibility to help these people, and the system pretty decent already."
"Yes, it's our responsibility to help these people, and the system needs to be changed to support that."
No real way to move people from these positions. I guess in short it's a morality thing. Personal belief. Not so much about technicality.