The correlation with CO2 output is very very good.
The Berkely earth group went in with basically exactly the same question, did everything from scratch and broadly replicated the IPCC curves
The Berkely earth group went in with basically exactly the same question, did everything from scratch and broadly replicated the IPCC curves
Sorry to recite a common wisdom that "correlation does not mean causation".
Do you have a competing theory? No one has been able to propose one that fits as well as greenhouse gases, and god knows people have tried.
This isn’t a shot in the dark using excel linest(atmospheric _co2, global_average_temperature) trend plots and calling it a day.
There is sound first principles model to solar thermal energy retention. It may not predict the global average temperature in the next 15 years within 0.2C but you have got to be kidding me bringing up that intro to statistics caveat “correlation!=causation”.
Like do you know how inaccurate most physics modeling is and still tends to be useful?