Share of car buyers with a monthly payment of more than $1k hits record high
cnbc.com
cnbc.com
Then, Fed rates increased higher than in a long time, which changes interest rates on loans. Since rates have been low, over a long time worth of slow inflation, this adds on top of the rates for new car purchases. This is more of a real effect in nominal costs, but anything requiring loans will see this raise, not just cars. And the rates are more in line with most of history - it's only young people that have not lived long enough to realize rates will change many times in a lifetime that are amazed by it.
For example, here [1] is historical finance rates for 48 month loans for new cars. The current rate, ~7%, was not seen since around 2008, and it was higher than 7% from 2008 all the way back through the entire chart (to 1972), with significant time above 10%, peaking around 17% in the early 1980s.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/carltonreid/2022/08/01/electric...
You see similar longevity in Teslas with hundreds of thousands of miles on them.
https://electrek.co/2020/06/06/tesla-battery-degradation-rep...
https://electrek.co/2018/04/14/tesla-battery-degradation-dat...
17 million new vehicles are sold per year in the US. I would argue EVs are not yet sold at a volume sufficient to drag the average new vehicles sales price up much beyond the $48k it’s currently at. Cars are just more expensive, interest rates keep rising, and wages aren’t keeping up.
The batteries have been reported to deteriorate to subpar performance at a rate similar to that of a part on an ICE vehicle that would be a consumable [1] (also shown by the links you provided).
For example, around the time an ICE car might ordinarily undergo a major service (e.g. timing belt).
I was speculating that the fact it deteriorates and isn't an inexpensive consumable, may be why people are choosing not to purchase them outright.
[1] https://www.nimblefins.co.uk/study-real-life-nissan-leaf-bat...
Living below ones means is very unfashionable.