I think Nokia will once come out as the winner in this. Instead of putting all their eggs in one basket they try to diversify their lineup. While a lot of other companies focus on Android they work on the next thing. Sooner or later consumers will shy away from Android because "everybody has one" or whatever reason they might have - Nokia will then step in and cater to these people.
Nokia, especially in Europe, has a lot of satisfied customers(The dumbphone market). If they manage to create a good blend of smart and dumbphones they will have the market.