author here, wow thanks for posting this up! i wrote this 3 years ago but have been doing updates and discussions on podcasts since (i add to my writing over time as i learn more, highly recommend it):

- nice visualization of lick surface area https://twitter.com/elzr/status/1381105950602461189

- https://museapp.com/podcast/53-career/

- scooped by sahil bloom https://twitter.com/swyx/status/1495079113115451392 (and dalton did another video more focused on YC founders https://youtu.be/NmEyx9TEkRw)

- another good perspective on luck https://twitter.com/swyx/status/1550659843882717186

and i cover more career-related aspects of luck/strategy in my book: https://learninpublic.org

If you care what I think - most people stop reading at the "4 types of luck" level (because that's where pmarca, naval et al stop), but what I'm trying to contribute to the conversation is the role of strategy in creating luck. People who are more intentional about their strategic decisions and awareness end up more lucky. But I'll have to prove it thru my own life success since simply arguing it doesnt convince anyone hehe.