'We Are Being Levelled Down’: Why the UK’s Wealth Gap Is Widening
bloomberg.com
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The fact that since 2010 this country has been ruled by people whose main qualification is being children or husbands of rich people, doesn't help. From this cold island, Ursula von der Leyen, a failed German politician, looks like a monumental stateswoman.
The unfortunate thing is that we have been governed by a party which takes that unhealthy attitude towards senior party members, they have always been more about who you know than what you know. You don't see the same proportion of Oxbridge grads in the current opposition.
Slightly anecdotal, my first job after graduating (from former polytechnic Loughborough) was in Cambridge for a company formed by a couple of Cambridge grads. There was a higher proportion of non Oxbridge grads at the company, I think we tended to have more practical experience.
How does it select leaders? By finding the most talented, or by finding those who are controllable?
Seems like the institutions are dual use.
David Cameron - Eton, Philosophy, Politics and Economics at Oxford, went straight into politics.
Theresa May studied Geography at Oxford, worked at Bank of England and a few other institutions for a while.
Boris Johnson - Eton, study of the Classics, ancient literature and classical philosophy. Worked as a journalist, was fired for lying, then became a politician.
How many politicians are hired or promoted by prime ministers not because of quality or background but social debts between families? Nobody really tracks those relationships.
Eton isn't regarded as a particularly good school. It is relatively expensive, and preferred by people outside the UK. Their academic results aren't that strong.
And social connections are an aspect of almost every political party. Blair hired almost everyone in Derry Irvine's chambers. Most of the SNP are not only friends, they are actually related to each other. The Tories are possibly the least incestuous because Cameron made a concerted effort to widen the reach of the party in the mid-2000s (this is why the current Cabinet is so diverse).
The reason why there is a concentration of Oxbridge is because, when most of these people went to uni, they were far and away the best. In Scotland, you see the exact same thing with Edinburgh (and strangely, no-one talks about the fact that almost of Sturgeon's clique went to Glasgow...which is, generally, an inferior university). And what you are actually seeing now is that more and more politicians are going to other universities reflecting the fact that non-Oxbridge unis caught up in the 90/00s (and recently, they have dropped off far more...Imperial is ahead in sciences, Oxford PPE is still very good though).
Looking at Instagram there are undeniably many physically fit Americans. In reality their physical fitness is notable because it is relatively rare.
Elite universities are sustainable in an industrial society where scarcity of resources means there are only so many high positions.
In a post-industrial society knowledge is the resource. Elite universities then instead mean you have a lack of resources.
Err, no.
Don't get me wrong, the Oxbridge system accepts, fosters and matriculates some very bright, very smart people.
But that is not at all what the core of the "Elite University" system is about, it's about connections and maintaining a single degree of freedom between the families that collectively hold > 90% of the wealth, resources, and influence within UK society.
Pretty much any male politician whose official actions could be described as inhuman or sociopathic has been through boarding school trauma.
In a post-industrial society, or beyond that, you aren't tied to physical resource in the same way. Instead you are limited by the amount of people with relevant knowledge. The existence of elite universities in such a society is really more saying that you can't produce enough people and opportunities.
Arriving at a village finding there is only one person with a car you don't say "wow, this guy is successful" you say "ouch, this is a poor village" even if that is the most successful person in the village. Because these days we expect cars and if everyone had cars he wouldn't stand out as successful.
Who is "We" here?
I think it would be reasonable to claim the two main parties come from very similar backgrounds. Both seem to be happy continuing with maintaining their status quo.
Without their consent, is it likely or possible to see a third option rise?
Yup. As the old joke goes ...
How do you know someone went to Oxford ? Don't worry, they'll tell you.
I've been interviewing graduates in the UK for many years now from a very broad range of universities, all focused on CS or stem degrees.
In my experience, I've yet to interview an oxbridge graduate who wasn't at least great academically, and this is speaking as someone who went to a lesser university. Clearly whatever standards they have for teaching and entry selection criteria really work.
That said, graduates from other universities are easily on par with oxbridge, just that there were some total morons amongst their peers as well.
In my opinion, the problem is not that the UK fetishes oxbridge candidates, the problem is politics is dominated by arts and ppe graduates which does not offer the problem solving skills stem degrees do. I genuinely think we'd be in a much better place if our leaders weren't trained just in communication, but instead on actually logically thinking through problems and resolving them.
The other half of the problem is that the archaic UK parliament needs to change, its not fit for the 21st century.
For example ...
MP's perks and expenses - why do MPs get HEAVILY subsidised food and drink ? why do they get such generous expenses ? why do they get Friday's off ? why do they get so many recess holidays ? why does the whole place shut down for party conference silly season ?
Prime Minister's Questions - Its a disgrace. The clue is in the word "Questions". Instead it's a farcical theatrical display where someone asks a question and then the Prime Minister doesn't answer it and/or the Prime Minister's backbenches ensure the answer gets drowned out in noise.
Planted Questons - All the planted questions from the Prime Minister's back benches. What's all that about ? Do they really think people are that stupid ?
Too many "gentleman's agreements" - For example, what's with the whole "you can 'unknowingly' lie, but you can't accuse others of lying" thing ?
Lack of independent scrutiny - Enquiries and investigations are all based on the "gentleman's agreement" that the Prime Minister can be trusted to be a "good man" and will therefore, of course, launch any necessary investigations into alleged acts of wrong doing. However as we saw with Johnson, well ....
Ministerial Code - The ultimate joke. A code with no teeth. Again, Johnson demonstrated how circles could be run round it.
Archaic "parliamentary protocol" - So many examples here, perhaps one of the most infamous is Christopher Chope MP shouting "object" and blocking progress of the Up-skirting bill. The perogueing of parliament by the Johnson government in relation to Brexit is another.
Because the bulk of the work of an MP is in being at home spending time talking to the bosses (i.e. the constituents) to ensure that the correct message is brought back to the central meeting place (i.e. parliament). After all, you, the constituent, are hiring the representative to carry your message to the central meeting place so you don't have to make the trip yourself. But you still have to make your message known. MPs are most definitely not mind readers who can simply be elected and then never spoken to again. It is a time consuming process to sit down with each and every constituent to hear their voice.
And, well, I guess if an MP really is a mind reader and doing such a great job that his bosses don't feel the need to talk during these recess periods, why not allow a nice vacation? An MP figuring out how to be more efficient than other MPs shouldn't be penalized. The recess will still be necessary for the poorly performing MPs to go home and get tuned in by their bosses.
Its awfully cute when people think that's an acceptable answer, it goes awfully well with that other well known phrase "write to your MP about it".
I know sufficient people across the length and breadth of the UK to know that the reality is that MPs (perhaps especially those who fly the Conservative flag) will do their utmost to avoid and fob off their constituents.
If I had a penny for every person who told me they wrote to their MP and either received no reply or received two-pages of pre-prepared boilerplate that didn't answer the question ... I'd be rich.
As for MPs who have extraordinarily well-paid "advisor" jobs on the side, what's your reasoning for that ?
If you want to ignore your constituents and not bother (and are in a safe seat) you might do less than half of that. But MPs, as a group, are very hard working. I also think that the way we select MPs, incentivise them, and manage them is awful and that's one of the many reasons why the institution of parliament is fairly crap. Unjustified cynicism about individuals is unlikely to fix that.
I do apologise for the form letters, though. That's almost always staff work, with the MP signing the result after a brief skim. We got a lot of mail and much of it was repetitive or crankish so the replies weren't always artisanal...
It’s never fun being the boss, but given that you’ve accepted the role you can be a good boss and stand up to your workers, even as much as they try hard to avoid you, or accept your failings and let your organization fall apart. Your choice.
Aah yes, another favourite old-chestnut, the old "well, you can vote differently next time".
Trouble is that one falls apart when you are reminded that the UK has FPTP (First Past The Post) and not PR (Proportion Representation).
As a result, most people's votes don't really count for much, and you end up with safe seats and all sorts of other problems.
But it favours the big-two parties and hence, like many other problems with UK politics and parliament, it will (likely) never change.
FPTP absolutely fails hard when parties get thrown into the mix. But that is when you should stop to ask yourself why are you hiring party members in the first place? You want to hire someone who is there to represent you, not some other allegiance. The Westminster system really isn't well suited to having parties in the first place, even if it has grown to accept them.
I think my point still stands, the whole system could be transformed if some real problem solvers involved. Alas, I don't see it happening any time soon.
The explanation is quite simple. If you subscribe to MMT, the government issues legal tender currency and creates it and today that happens via debt. This means debt just represents untaxed money in the private sector. In other words, the government didn't bother to collect all the money that is in the private sector.
When you understand this, then having a single tax like income tax be the primary source of tax revenue is a bad thing. Let's assume that we have an economy where all income exists in the form of wages and therefore is taxed at the income tax rate of 50% (I can't do this math on the phone, sorry). This means the half the income is taxed once every year. This money has a half life of exactly one year if the government were to use all of it to pay off debt. This means that in this example the government can never really go bankrupt as long as it doesn't do some inherently backwards things that break the economy in the long run.
But what if there are two types of incomes that are taxed at different rates and at different frequency?
What if you have wages and offshore companies where income tax can be delayed indefinitely until you bring the money back home where it is taxed at the usual income tax rate? Then suddenly it is possible for money to be stuck abroad and never taxed for long periods of time. As we know, this is money the government simply didn't bother to collect. It actively lets people keep the money abroad untaxed, so it shouldn't be surprising that the problem cannot be solved by hiking income taxes. The debt has to be extended not because the government is living beyond its means but because it is simply not collecting the money necessary to pay off its debts.
This is supposed to be an illustration, not a perfect description of the real world. I didn't talk about low capital gains taxes. Which also means money could be stuck domestically inside the financial systems.
The lower the tax rate and the lower the frequency of the taxable event, the more time money gets to spend away from the government and the longer the government will spend its time being in debt and I am still assuming that debts are eventually paid off. In principle there is no rule that money can't be stuck in a non productive sector indefinitely which then means the government must constantly intervene by spraying money at the productive sectors so they don't dry out like plants in a desert.
What there is is people with financial savings, and a balancing item in the national accounts because of that. That balancing item occurs naturally, costlessly and without concern as a consequence of the way double entry bookkeeping works.
Money is never stuck because it isn't a thing. It's really just an accounting record.
If you have £50 in your wallet or purse you are 'causing' the balancing item to come about because you have spent it yet.
Tax isn't there to raise money. Tax is there to stop the private sector hiring everybody - so there is somebody left for the public sector to hire to do the jobs the government needs doing to fulfil its democratic mandate.
Roads, education, healthcare, much of these things would either be unprofitable or unaffordable if they have to be self-funding. But they bring social value even if they don't make their own shareholders rich.
When you think about taxation, look at the UK's tax code. Arguably one of the longest and most complex in the world.
Walk into a firm of UK accountants and ask to be shown their copy of Tolly's Tax Handbook....
You'll be led to a room with a bookshelf full of books with Orange and Yellow spines.
The "handbook" is 23,000 pages long.
Tax Avoidance is an artform in the UK.
Tax Evasion is illegal, of course, but avoidance tends to be sufficient for the majority - sufficient legal loopholes and grey-areas are provided in the tax code !
But you do not have to subscribe to MMT.
(I see MMT as wishful thinking by social democrats who have already given up their fight)
This is especially true if you follow MMT. Remember, the whole underlying premise of MMT is that the government's ability to pay for goods and services is not in any way limited by a need to collect money first, that they cannot ever be forced to default on debt denominated in their own currency, that the only actual limiting factor is the actual real resources like labour, raw materials, and so on, and that the purpose of taxation is to keep inflation under control by reducing private demand for those things. From that point of view, money sittting in offshore accounts is a red herring because it doesn't represent consumption of real resources, and wages and money being brought into the country to buy things with are exactly what does need to be taxed because they do represent actual demand which will cause consumption of those resources.
One of those relationships is the corruption feedback loop it creates, with offshore money buying political power which is used to aquire more offshore money.
Since 2010, the UK has declared war on work and now everybody is wondering where productivity is. In the meanwhile everybody is busy talking about grand reforms, such as Scottish secession and leaving the EU.
The young professional can upskill, or work harder, to cover increased income taxes. The pensioner is often unable to work; they're less likely to be fit, and their alertness may be fading.
I'm 66, out of employment for 5 years, and I can't imagine enduring a 9-5 shift. I don't always sleep well, I often need a siesta, and I'm certain I'm much less sharp since I quit employment. My work-rate has fallen a lot.
I don't have a pension as such; I live on the rent on my property. I worked for the money to buy that property; it's not inherited wealth that fell into my lap. My finances are planned around the rental income. If you start taxing my property, how am I supposed to pay? My only choice is to sell the property, reducing my rental income to zero, and rendering me a burden on the taxpayer.
The young professional worked hard to acquire his human capital, that is taxed way more than rental income. Also, salaries in the UK have increased much less than rents.
Besides, properties are taxed everywhere in the world, especially if they are rented out, bar the UK.
BTW: the term "human capital" is usually a euphemism for staff, isn't it? I'm not sure what it is that you think is taxed way more than rental income; my rental income is taxed as income, just as if it was salary from employment. So what is this heavily-taxed "human capital"?
Can you get a reverse mortgage to sell back some of your equity to pay your taxes? Maybe this isn't a think in the UK but it very well could be. I mean if I held market equities and no cash and owed taxes, I don't think I'd get much sympathy not selling some to pay the taxes I owe. I'm not sure why real estate should be treated differently.
It's not a "reverse" mortgage; it's just a mortgage that the lender doesn't expect you to pay off (so when you die, they get a stake in the your estate).
I've thought a good bit about equity-release; I might be forced into it, if my health holds out longer than I've planned for. But I was taught never to use capital for current expenditure. I try to stick to that.
Thing is, it seems wrong to tax the property of someone whose only income is rental from that same property. The only way they can pay the tax is to reduce their stake in the property, and so their ability to pay tax. It's a spiral that ends in disappropriation, and dependence on the state.
In the US it's commonly called a reverse mortgage.
> I've thought a good bit about equity-release; I might be forced into it, if my health holds out longer than I've planned for. But I was taught never to use capital for current expenditure. I try to stick to that.
> Thing is, it seems wrong to tax the property of someone whose only income is rental from that same property. The only way they can pay the tax is to reduce their stake in the property, and so their ability to pay tax. It's a spiral that ends in disappropriation, and dependence on the state.
Sure I agree that you ideally don't want to draw down on your capital, but ideally you'd have the cash to pay the taxes. Going back to the case of equities, if your only income was in the form of dividends and you didn't have enough to pay taxes you owe, you'd need to sell stocks which would decrease future cash flow from dividends.
I don't really see this as fundamentally different than other cases where you don't have enough income to grow your wealth after costs. E.g. when you go in to retirement. I mean it's nice if you have enough capital that you can fully live of off cash you derive from it (rentals, dividends, pensions, etc.), but if you can't then you gotta dip into your capital.
It's just Brexit. The rest will not be allowed to be tried. And Brexit was popular precisely because it located the failed institutions outside the country where they could be a convenient scapegoat, without having to look at the big failing institution: the media-intelligensia-Tory circle of people.
Institutional failure reached the point of allowing Liz Truss to be PM, the UK's shortest PM term at 45 days. The sort of governmental turnover that you'd expect from Italy in the 90s.
(Where's the air disaster type writeup of "how did the Truss failure occur?" in the media? You won't see that because it implicates too many people. Yet it was the organisational equivalent of handing control to an untrained junior who immediately flew the plane into the ground.)
Liz Truss can barely speak in her native language and in normal circumstances she wouldn’t have been allowed to become a member of Parliament, let alone a senior minister or the Prime Minister.
Government turnover in Italy has always been a nightmare since 1945. The difference between the First Republic and the Second Republic is the former basically had the same ruling party and the same electoral law, the latter has had coalitions with very different parties and a different electoral law in almost all the elections.
A lot of people said that about Brexit, before it happened. Scottish independence is a real possibility (although I think it is an equally bad idea).
Whereas the UK government was perfectly capable of carrying out Brexit, it just had totally incoherent ideas of what it wanted and what other parties would agree to.
[1] https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2013/242/pdfs/uksi_20130...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edinburgh_Agreement_(2012)
I vaguely remember they said something like this about the 13 colonies. I wonder what happened to them?
The big opportunity for them would be that they could join the EU. That seems like a massive win. The have lots of potential to generate energy.
Pre-Brexit I would have agreed with you, but clearly being ruled from London isn’t helping anyone but London.
The Northern levelling up is also looking like a joke at this point. Perhaps Manchester, Newcastle and York need to start thinking of independence!
* If Scotland joins the EU then there must be customs checkpoints between England and Scotland. In the era of the modern nation state there has been no such formal border between the two countries. One can only imagine the number of business that rely on completely frictionless transfer of good across the border. At least in the case of Northern Ireland there is a recent historical precedent for border checkpoints (albeit one that's tied to painful memories). And yet look at how that's going.
* Scotland would be poorer. I can very much sympathize with Scots who don't like being ruled by English Tories (I'm English and I don't like it either!), but a lot more money flows from London to Scotland than in the other direction.
* The UK's nuclear deterrent would very likely be compromised. Some might say 'good riddance', but current world events are pretty nicely illustrating the strategic value of nuclear weapons. Scotland's GDP is about 6% of the UK's. It can't afford to fund its own defense. The SNP's plan for defense is either to pretend that it's not required, or just to assume that the remainder of the UK will continue to pay for it. On top of that, the armed forces employ a significant number of Scottish people (both directly and indirectly).
* The UK is already becoming a second-tier actor on the world stage. Split it up into smaller countries and the international influence of each will dwindle further.
The notion that the EU is just waiting for the next English speaking country to join and/or leave every other year is the root of Brexit ideology (as in a set of quasi-coherent beliefs that constitute a world view). It is based on a weird sense of superiority that is not justified in anything that happens in the material world.
Acting like the “media,” the “intelligentsia,” and the “Tories” are in any way aligned is some serious cope.
Fervent us-or-them competition helps frame anybody else out of the contest.
Was Labour any better at the time?
Corbyn could have campaigned as the "we'll reverse the Brexit decision" and IMHO could have had a decent chance of winning/ forming the government.
No.
I think its well accepted by most people with sensible minds that the reason Johnson got it was because of Corbyn.
Corbyn was basically a bit nuts, he effectively wanted to return the UK to the 1970s.
Corbyn was attractive to the young and politically naïve via his "Momentum" programme, but as we saw with the Red Wall votes, those who were around in the 70s didn't want a return to that, even if it meant lending their vote to the party of Thatcher.
The Blue Wall will highly likely prove to be a one-off, they held their nose and ticked the box because Johnson was the lesser of two evils.
There is no comparison possible with German politics. German politicians wouldn't be councillors in the UK, and their system is totally cooked (Russia appears to have purchased almost all of the SPD, the media is non-existent, the farce around the Merkel transition was incredible).
Junior doctors do not have less purchasing power than a German janitor. One of the main issues with the NHS is doctors going part-time because the pay is so high. The BMA have actually mooted the idea of tax cuts for doctors only between the band of £100-125k in order to get more of them into work (and btw, part of the issue with pay is regional inequality, doctors in London can work two days a week and earn £300k/year...London is distinct). One of the negative aspects of the UK political system is that the BMA has massive political/media/PR influence so people will say things like doctors are underpaid, without connecting to this any other information that they have.
Nurses are generally overpaid too. One of the problems in the NHS has been low productivity, and part of that has been significant growth in nurse numbers. But there is a hard cap on their productivity (and a result pay). Starting pay is £27k/year...for reference, this is as much as engineering grads make (generally speaking, almost all grads are underpaid in the UK apart from those going into tech/finance/medicine...relatively low-skill work is almost always overpaid).
I actually agree with your point in part, a lot of it is naval-gazing but there is a need for more local powers (if you look at what is happening around Manchester, it is clear that this can work). Thankfully, leading politicians of both parties today are largely past it.
Also, public investment isn't being cut whilst taxes are rising...taxes are significantly below the level required to fund public investment. One of the main political issues is that voters don't understand this.
Would this be the same Chancellor who's just resigned in disgrace over ordering HMRC not to investigate him for not paying tax, then threatening any journalist who mentioned it with a libel lawsuit?
> Britain has no shortage of extremely competent politicians
We have a massive shortage of competent politicians at delivering benefits to the country. They're only competent at delivering benefits to themselves. If there wasn't a shortage, Truss would never have been put in charge.
Anyone trying to defend the Tory record has to defend Truss without just memory-holing that whole 45 day period. Not just herself - a hapless, content-free cipher, now discarded - but everyone who voted for her should be regarded as grossly incompetent. As should people who published positive press about her. Just as SBF got so many glowing reviews before stealing/losing several billions of dollars of customer money.
No.
> Anyone trying to defend the Tory record has to defend Truss without just memory-holing that whole 45 day period.
And anyone criticizing the system has to explain how someone incompetent was removed so quickly. In any other country, she would have been in power for years.
And the shortage theory would only follow logically if the Tories had then elected someone who was at least as bad...which didn't happen. Truss was bad, but that is all you can really say.
She was polling so badly it was seen as the equivalent of her party coming fourth, behind not only Labour, but also the SNP and the LibDems:
"""That could see the Tories win just 22 seats, behind the SNP on 42, the Lib Dems on 47 and Labour on 515.""" - https://metro.co.uk/2022/10/18/liz-truss-silent-as-poll-poin...
> And the shortage theory would only follow logically if the Tories had then elected someone who was at least as bad...which didn't happen.
Not so; while competence and popularity aren't the same things, none of the candidates for leadership of the Tory party have been of a high standard at least since Cameron left.
Cameron said Sunak was going to lead the party. He is leagues above Cameron (who, for a British politician, was quite average). If you look in the Cabinet, you see the same thing. It is more obvious once you compare the Tories to Labour, the gulf is huge (Labour really only has Reeves and Starmer, and the latter is, seemingly by his own admission, not strong opposition...btw, I am a Labour supporter, the reason I know this is because I know people in the party, it is embarrassing and all stemmed from the problems with Brown).
Truss was one of the weakest members of the Cabinet (alongside her stooges). But Johnson, for all his faults, was the right man at the right time, and left when he was supposed to. Again, another one of the strengths of our system. And we didn't get a Brown situation (you may have forgotten that Brown also polled under the Lib Dems in the run-up to 2010, Corbyn was leader for how long...and he actually polled under the Lib Dems too in 2019).
Still allowed to criticise the system for allowing her to gain power. No brownie points for the fact that her party recognised she was such a disaster they would cease to be a meaningful political force at the next election, and therefore made it clear that she should resign. This can easily be replicated in other systems. They don't need to have an official way to force leaders out: she, officially, resigned.
> But Johnson, for all his faults, was the right man at the right time, and left when he was supposed to.
Oh god no, he was a walking disaster area well before he became the uncontested replacement for May. He was fundamentally unfit for office and shouldn't have even been allowed to stand as a Tory candidate MP given his pathological incomprehension of the concept of truth as something deeper than an ad hominem attack. Allowing him to be PM has almost certainly undermined UK national security given his complete lack of restraint or self control in either lust or money.
Only reason he won the election is because Corbyn was so unappealing that even the parliamentary Labour party overwhelming rejected him (what was it, all MPs not in the shadow cabinet?), which is exactly him sticking around for years in the way that you're saying doesn't happen in the UK.
But why did he stick around when the Tory MPs could kick out their leaders? Because Labour's leadership contest allowed candidates rejected by the party to be on the ballot, while the Tories (do they still change their method with each leader or was that just the Blair years?) don't.
> And we didn't get a Brown situation (you may have forgotten that Brown also polled under the Lib Dems in the run-up to 2010, Corbyn was leader for how long...and he actually polled under the Lib Dems too in 2019).
That was unusually high LibDem support of 29% instead of the usual 10-15%, not a spectacular catastrophic nose-dive by Brown.
Corbyn should've gone after the first election or the leadership contest. That he didn't proves the UK being parliamentary didn't help.
No, actually
It mostly consisted of me pointing out the salary bands for Junior doctors and the person I was replying too angrily denying reality and substituting in their own.
Maybe not as impressive as billionaires, but still impressive. And certainly as a family more valuable than hedge funds.
Whether this is the case or not, Von der Leyen is a visibly average politician. Juncker-tier. You actually wonder if there was some kind of competition to elect the biggest idiot.
Germany works much better than the UK. Just look at salary growth or at the number of strikes that the past 12 years of idiocy unleashed on the UK.
Sunak as a chancellor is responsible for idiocies like Eat Out to Help Out, the stamp duty holiday and losing billions of pound of taxpayers’ money to fraudsters during the pandemic. As a prime minister he can’t manage the strikes and half his cabinet is under investigation (by HMRC or for violations of the ministerial code or bullying). He’s clearly not fit for the role and doesn’t know what he’s doing. And at this point I’m not even expecting a strategic vision, I’d just like somebody that doesn’t increase my tax bill by 10 % every year and loses half of the money like a toddler sent to buy milk and bread.
An NHS consultant makes 70K, that in London is not enough to send a child to nursery and pay the rent (that is: they are poor). A junior doctor makes a fraction of that. For those unaware, depending on the specialty, a junior doctor may be even 35-40 year old. A private doctor may make a lot of money, but I wrote specifically that the NHS can’t hire, not that I can’t find a doctor in Harley Street.
Finally, taxes have gone up (I would have payed £800 less a month in 2009). Sunak alone increased my tax bill by £2-300 a month, while inflation reduced my real income by more than 10%. I don’t have time to find the data, but last time I checked public capital investment as a share of GDP was lower than in 2007.
Or take Covid - our press pushed this tale about South Korea having such effective contact tracing they could lift restrictions and reopen society, whereas our incompetent government failed to do so, but in reality they were actually less successful at doing so and even had their own equivalent of Eat Out to Help Out planned that they completely failed to launch in 2020 because they couldn't keep restrictions lifted for long enough. It's just that the British press only reported on them attempting to lift restrictions as proof they succeeded and ignored the part where it kept on failingg and they were almost immediately reimposed, whilst their UK coverage only focused on failures and not on the country being largely out of lockdown for most of summer 2020.
Also, the only zero-fraud option for something like furlough or business support is to deny everyone - every real-world set of anti-fraud checks inevitably blocks some genuine people and permits some fraudsters, I'm sure HN must be familiar with this concept by now, and of course the media attacked the government as incompetent for both. (For example, complaining that businesses couldn't just add people to payroll and immediately claim furlough for them - which would enable massive, trivial fraud - and also that they had no way of detecting if employers were making people come into work whilst claming they were furloughed.) Most of the publications pushing that story even spin normal benefit fraud as something that's not a big deal and right-wing Tory attempts to crack down on it as damaging and counterproductive using essentially this argument. On the other hand, Germany's financial regulator actually opened a criminal investigation into the journalists who investigated the Wirecard fraud, and Germany's own press and politicians failed so hard at investigating that it fell to journalists from outside the country working for the Financial Times to finally prove it. Those are, qualititively, very different kinds of fraud problems and not in a way that makes Germany look good.
Should we start with the Libor fixing scandal and continue all the way through to the recent PPE scandal? Is this how it works?
The significance of Wirecard may be the fact that one of the biggest German frauds of all time was uncovered by a British newspaper. And after it was discovered, top politicians continued to lobby aggressively for the country for over a year.
The level of corruption is unimaginable to Brits (imagine if Cameron was working directly for Putin...that is what Schroder is doing, indeed most of the SPD male parliamentarians have, one hears, been compromised in Moscow) precisely because of our open institutions. These do not exist in Germany (as has been widely acknowledged even within Germany after Wirecard).
The reason cases do not play out the same way here is because of the Auditor General, because of the FT...this kind of scrutiny is unimaginable to most countries in the EU (why would voters even have such a puerile interest in their representatives? They vote, we lead).
This is a very misleading statement. Here’s a Wikipedia summary of her career, which you could easily have checked:
> In 1980, she switched to studying medicine and enrolled at the Hannover Medical School, where she graduated in 1987 and acquired her medical license.[33] From 1988 to 1992, she worked as an assistant physician at the Women's Clinic of the Hannover Medical School. Upon completing her doctoral studies, she graduated as a Doctor of Medicine in 1991. Following the birth of twins, she was a housewife in Stanford, California, from 1992 to 1996, while her husband was a faculty member of Stanford University.[34]
> From 1998 to 2002, she taught at the Department of Epidemiology, Social Medicine and Health System Research at the Hannover Medical School.[citation needed] In 2001 she earned a Master of Public Health degree at the institution.[35][36][37]
A bit partial I think, for those interested, maybe a more complete profile from BBC (2021): https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000vp0r
In the US, a resident will earn somewhere in the $50k-$80k range, depending on specialty.
Once out of residency, the average junior salary jumps up to somewhere north of $150k. Although by that point, the doctor is likely almost 30 and possibly carrying $100k+ in student loans. They’re well paid, no question, but makes for non-optimal (for society) choices - harder than it should be for them to enter poor areas or lower salary specialties.
sigh what multiple of salary mortgage are you going to get on that? And what are average house prices?
They drive the narrative. This continued decay is on them. They like to pretend the Truss debacle was something entirely of her own making which they merely observed and reported, but it was an engineered political takedown. The Tories of course are pathetic and spineless so they put up little resistance.
What I don’t like is the current situation in the UK, where I pay more income tax than I would pay in Germany and I also have to pay for healthcare and childcare and education.
In some parts of the country like we have 3 or 4 tiers of local government (parish council, borough council, county council, regional elected mayor) whose powers effectively are to regulate building work, run social care (mostly outsourced), and collect waste (mostly outsourced). They don’t even have power for running public transport except in a few areas like London and Greater Manchester. As a result, local politicians are of low calibre as there is no real benefit to being a local politician - decisions are made nationally and so
As an example of how little control local areas have compared to other countries, local government in the U.K. in general:
* Can’t set the amount for annual property taxes (other than small percentage increases)
* Set and collect property taxes on sales
* Run public utilities like water or sewage
* Tell public transport operators that they must run along certain routes or regulate fares or run public transport themselves (legacy of Thatcher in the 80s deregulating buses)
* Regulate taxi drivers in their own areas (any taxi driver can register anywhere in the country and some areas have lower standards)
* Regulate roadworks along major roads which are within their boundaries (only smaller roads)
* Schools in their areas are now independent “academy trusts” and are regulated nationally.
* Commission and run healthcare in their area which is run by different organisations (most areas have two NHS trusts covering them - one for Acute care and one for Mental Health), even though this links in heavily with the social care they do have to provide.
So you have 4-5 banks that emit bank notes, and the only money that is actually mandated by law to be respected is coins. (England has an extra law that makes you take Bank of England notes, but it's not a law that covers all of UK).
Whoever the teller at ABN AMRO at Schiphol that day was, they have my thanks till dying day for taking the scottish notes and exchanging for euro :D
Where I live is a good example, Stamford in south Lincolnshire. It is part of Lincolnshire but on this tiny little outcrop at the very bottom of the county, surrounded on three side by other counties. Like most town in the UK there is a demand for housing, the only way for the town to grow is into other counties. These other counties then control services, education, and development plans. It results in a situation where there is no plan for how to develop the town, housing developers are getting away with building without having to put into place transport, health or education facilities.
(+) yes, just England and Wales
"It's complex", "It's just natural", "It's actually going better for poor folks today than before", "Yes, there were no homeless here 20 years ago, but here's the reason why it's actually a sign that it's good thing"
I think there is a reasonable argument that the balance has shifted too many resources into the hands of too few. That bad because even if those few are good at managing resources (managing investments, running companies, etc) you want to make sure that up and coming talent has a chance. You don't want incumbent economic power to be able to block competition too much.
I have no problem with successful entrepreneurs building valuable companies that provide useful goods and services, employing lots of people. Having wealth in the form of a controlling interest in a company you are running well is fine by me. I have worked for such companies much of my life, doing work I'm proud of while clothing and feeding my family. It's rent seeking activities and inherited or politically captured wealth gained through no personal merit that are problematic and I think there's too much of that going on at the moment. But having worked for a billionaire that worked his arse off doing fantastic work that benefited millions of people, I think the current trend that billionaire = bad is too simplistic.
This. Unfortunately the atmosphere in Europe (or at least Sweden where I live) seems to be the exact opposite: nobody's upset about our own hereditary oligarchs (which put the Russian ones to shame), but they are screaming about Elon Musk...
The Elon who used a bullshit single lane car tunnel to cynically deflect the conversation away from public transport?
The Elon who has been caught censoring left wing outlets on Twitter?
That Elon Musk?
Musk doesn't seem to have a problem with public transport in principle, he just thinks that currently it sucks and there are ways to make transport generally cheaper and better. Many of the projects his Boring Company is involved in are public transport.
Wikipedia’s source also seems to be an interview with Errol, who claims to have had a part-stake in a mine. We don’t know how big. If someone owns some shares in Apple, saying they’re the company’s “owner” would be misleading, even if they made a good profit.
Would you say that the fact it was in Zambia is actually material to the point the poster was making about him coming from a wealthy background, or was it an incidental detail?
It isn't though.
We see these people buying news outlets, bribing politicians, outright owning politicians, owning judges, attacking organizations that protect the environment or help reduce inequality.
We see them getting away with rape and murder. We see them creating and exploiting tax loopholes. We see them running monopolies and then bribing institutions that were supposed to hold them accountable in full sight.
I'm glad you're alright Jack. That's super for you that your company is run well - though I bet if you named the company, we could all point to some skeletons. Even so - best to peek outside your bubble before defending the class that's been waging war on the planet.
That billionaire you're defending probably pays a lower tax rate than you do. That's because his class paid to make things that way, with concerted effort, over years. Not much natural about it.
The whole capitalist system requires the existence of some inequality; you are incentivized to work hard to better your lot. If your lot is not allowed to get better (perfect equality), why bother?
The billionaire I was talking about Mo Ibrahim. He wrote a program for planning cellular radio networks and built a company around it starting from his dining room called MSI, which is where I worked for him. He then went on to found Celtel. He saw what was happening in Europe and realised that cellular radio could be a transformative technology, that could help Africa jump forward technically much more cheaply than traditional wired telecoms of the time. He runs a charity focused on promoting responsible leadership and democratic values in Africa.
Genuinely one of the nicest guys I have ever met, and if you gave me a billion pounds and said I could give it to a government bureaucracy or Mo Inrahim, I'd give it to Mo. I trust him to know how it could do the most good, whether that's helping people in need, or building companies that employ people and provide valuable services, or develop great technology the world needs.
Unless you're talking about going back in time and arranging things so that no one can ever borrow money from anyone. Sure, without access to credit people would have a hard time buying homes. But that's such a radically different society, from a finance perspective, that it's pretty much meaningless to contemplate. I'm sure people would find other ways to access capital in the absence of credit.
cf the Chinese shadow banking system
The mistake this sort of analysis makes is assuming nobody will do anything to stop things getting worse, and underestimating the extent to which other things in the economy and society are going well. The same is true in booms, most analysts under value the risks building up in the system. It's the old extrapolating the down trend to infinity in a bust, and extrapolating the upswing to infinity in a boom.
This is why Ukraine didn't collapse under bombing, Russia didn't collapse under sanctions, the Chinese property market is now rallying. It's why the Fed made a profit out of TARP. When things go to crap, the people who can do something don't throw their hands in the air and give up. They get to work.
That's the idea. When bad happens, it is uncontrolled. Eventually, bad will happen and no attempt to control it will succeed. But sure, until then, you are right. And there is nothing anyone can really do to prepare except have a "go bag" and have assets and residence in multiple countries.
https://www.nimblefins.co.uk/savings-accounts/average-househ...
Edited for typo.
- Use it as collateral to get bigger loans at better interest rates
- Rent it out at higher rates (a 5% rental yield for a $1M house looks very different from the same for a $500k house)
- Give yourself (and your dependants) the ability to invest more or take on riskier ventures since there's the "insurance" of an expensive piece of property to fall back on.
Boomers will say oh children don't cost a lot of money. They just need your love. They think I don't want children. Nothing could be farther from the truth and yet it makes no sense to have children for the vast majority of millennials and beyond.
You can always point to something as a cause for "no, people shouldn't have kids" and that has always been true but the world belongs to people whose parents didn't think that way :)
The financial thing is a ridiculous premise anyway. There are plenty of people for example in the religious communities who have 5+ or even 10+ kids and those kids are raised healthy, good and educated - all on modest incomes.
Some people have to have children. I'm not opposed to other people having some children. What I am saying is there is not enough community support for everyone to have children. It is unhealthy for our society that some people have ten plus children and some have none. There should be an upper bound to how many biological children someone can have (my suggestion is two, maybe three but no more). There should be more support for all parents and children (no income/wealth cap or risk eligibility). You can still choose to not have children or have fewer than the upper bound.
This is crazy. If you want to have more kids, have more kids. I support you. If you don't have the community, invest in community. I support you.
What is ridiculous is to limit others who have arranged their life for family based on limitations of those who haven't.
There’s nothing fundamentally expensive about raising kids.
_Higher_ education is actually an export industry in the sense that foreigners spend lots of money on it, but the government hates it for various reasons and it's currently on strike as a result.
That’s what I can think of off the top of my head and there a plenty of automotive suppliers and start ups in the area
UK automotive is a massive industry and still very relevant in the midlands.
Not really, Mexico made three times as many cars as the UK in 2021.
You named many companies, I'll ignore their foreign ownership, but Lotus, London Taxi ,Jaguar, and Aston are low volume
Aston isn’t owned by an international firm, they have heavy Daimler investment but for all intents and purposes they are independent (although I can’t see it staying that way for long they desperately need the weight of a larger firm backing them - like Lotus has)
I completely agree the UK focuses more on low-volume, high-value automotive, bit looking at that table UK car production has more than halved since the Brexit referendum went through. The hollowing out of the UK car industry is a very recent phenomena.
And education is awesome, which of course is why we strictly limit building around our top university towns and cities.
https://www.theglobalcity.uk/resources/asset-management : "With £11.6tn of assets under management, it is the second largest centre overall, after the USA"
It's not especially new that Tory politicians funnel money away from urban constituencies that aren't going to vote for them, and that their voters hate. What does seem to be new is the extent of blatant and direct corruption at the top; Mone, Zahawi, et al.
The last feasible plan for Liverpool would have seen it turned into a sort of Vegas (casinos, hotels, etc). I’ve seen nothing feasible since offered by any party.
Also, it is strange to point out about corruption and Liverpool. Liverpool's mayor is widely regarded as one of the most corrupt people in British politics. If you look at other deprived areas in inner London or other parts of the UK, they recovered. The problem in places like Liverpool is a deep antipathy to enterprise, and a culture of relying heavily on the govt.
Mone: she lied to a civil servant about owning a company, ministers have no role in procurement decisions, and the contracts given were audited ex-post by a third-party govt body (that ministers do not control and which exists to examine value for money, Auditor General). Zahawai: didn't pay the correct amount in taxes and also lied about it to a civil servant...what corruption?
Like people have this weird off switch in their brain where they just read the BBC, their awful journalists tell them what they want to hear, and the bot brain activates: well, it is Tory corruption innit, investment, fraud...just no content at all.
If anything, 300 miles may be a bit small.
Mid-sized cities with stable local industries are much better for the average person. We have no tech, banking, etc., in Annapolis where I live. We have the Navy, farming, and tourism. The city is full of people who grew up here. Low level retail jobs are staffed by teenagers, not immigrants or some other underclass. Housing is affordable. Similarly in adds Moines Iowa. The unemployment rate is 2.7%. The average house price is less than 4x the median household income, compared to over 10x in San Francisco.
I don't think that it is avoidable though, if out of the 500 projects you cut out 475 of them and then work on the remaining 25 and really make something cool out of them then, then the people running the 25 projects will get a lot of credit and promotions, which will anger the people whose projects got cut. Pretty sure they would all rather suffer from mediocrity together.
Really? Most britons are middle-class. The people who used to be peasants are now farmer-landowners, and machinery enables them to work their land with very few workers. There are no more huge crowds of factory workers.
People use the term "upper class" in different ways. Sometimes it just means "rich", but I don't think class is about money. If you describe someone as "classy", you're saying they're educated, mannered and refined. You're not saying they're rich.
To be clear, I think of the upper class as the aristocracy and their offspring. The rich guys are probably in the class known as "nouveau riche". Increasingly, the nouveau riche seem to be immigrants, such as the recently-dismissed Tory chairman.
The UK has for decades been penalizing the middle class, which is the majority of the population. They aren't unionized, and they don't even have much solidarity: politicians can easily set the middle classes at one-another's throats. And yet most of us are middle-class.
Try being 'stable' on 50k, or even 70-80k without having a sum to start with from others (e.g. parents) and want to get ahead with decent housing that you can rely on well before you get retired, rely on even when interim hardship comes, without fear of loosing any of you your jobs just temporarily (beacuse naturally you both must work, no choice in that!), try it! Preferably in a medium expensive area. .... stable ... you are funny!
I’m not saying life can’t be better and that wages should climb (in fact I whole heartedly agree) but the picture of a non-existent middle class and those that are there are unstable and days from sliding into poverty just isn’t true.
This is demonstrably untrue. Social housing is run by housing associations which are ALMOs (arms length management orgs) rather than central government but they are still large and numerous (Clarion appears to be the largest now with over 100,000 properties and there are over 1,500 HAs in the UK). All new housing projects must have a portion for social housing along with (and I may get this number wrong) 106 money which is an investment in local services that must be built first/early so they don’t do the old “whoops we ran out of money just after we sold the last house and now can’t build that parade of shops and community Center we said we would”
Did not mean the subsidised basic housing for the use of the most miserable to conserve their status, taking their money with market rates when they start to earn above low miserable level, prohibiting a raise in living standard or savings. Whenever you'd get a glance at breaking out of the 30k-40k kind of household income level you'd be hit with market rent which will push you right back to social housing. This serves more like an other kind of of inadequate social benefits, something to point at: 'see, we have social something!' while it's just conserving the situation for the poor, no real chance getting into a non-existent middle class. More like a life raft for those having no other choice than a community centric housing approach for the population.
The 100,000 is both inadequate number - not enought because there are more who'd need it, so it is mandated on the private sector to build more - and also too high: showing how big the poor class is...
I'm in the UK and haven't really felt any of the recent issues...but am probably in the right group which is distorting perception
The way the council try to help is by installing anti-homeless spikes under bridges and "upgrading" benches so they have handrails midway through so you can't lie down on them.
"The most obvious common factor in explaining the UK’s miserable trajectory is that it represents the accumulated consequences of a sustained failure to invest."
Maybe there are too many rent seekers in power.
https://adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-184-nostalgia-for...
If you consider the chart for two seconds, you realise that it also shows very high investment in Europe...and did Europe have a huge investment boom like the US over the past ten years? No.
It is substantially more nuanced than this. You need to look at the structure of financial markets, how research is converted into revenue, and how this gets balanced politically.
Investment is just capital balance + domestic savings, and the latter is just your trade balance. Investment in the US has held up despite running a huge deficit because they are importing capital. Comparing that situation with Europe, which cannot import capital on a large scale because of their banking situation, is misleading.
Just generally, the UK has more than enough basic research and has always done so. The problem has been that we have no institution like Stanford that excels in applying this research, and we lack the financial structure to enable this even if we did. More public investment won't make the slightest difference, it didn't in the 60/70s and it won't now.
Also, the productivity charts are classic. Everyone knows they are misleading, Richard Jones has said the chart is misleading (he also, suspiciously, uses 2009 as the break). Productivity growth has slowed globally, and (ironically as Tooze says later but doesn't connect to the above) we made the decision to destroy our own banking sector. There is no world in which productivity growth continued to be 2+%. It is all so silly.
"For Tooze, this Marx – the ‘empirical’ Marx – anticipates his own brand of grounded contemporary history" (1)
But "Ultra-Marxist" surely doesn't fit. I see him as social democrat and as devoted Keynesian.
I have not read his books, but think I should. He seems to be one of the most creative intellectuals and historians at the moment.
Tooze is one of the most famous Marxist historians in the world. Iirc, he used to go to all the Marxist historian conferences (Historical Materialism, he writes for New Left Review, etc.)
Wages of Destruction is one of the best economic history books of the 20th century. Everything after that isn't good. I would read more about what historical Marxists believe. If you actually read what he is saying very carefully, you would realise that his view of how economic growth occurs is significantly different to the one that exists in reality. Part of that is empiricism (Marxists were the arch empiricists, they viewed their theories as grounded in a deep understanding of statistics and data...this is obviously ridiculous in retrospect but this view of "scientific Marxism" was pervasive at the time).
If you don't know much about economic history, I would read Mokyr/McCloskey, anything that has a vaguely coherent account of how economic growth actually occurs.
Lately Adam Tooze has been writing too much, his Javelin Chartbook post on Substack for example is ridiculous. But probably everyone has bad days.
I lived in West Berlin before and after the fall of the Wall and picked up quite a bit about Marxism / Historical Materialism. As far as I see, Tooze is miles away from orthodox Marxism.
Tooze knows both Europe and the US well and he has the historical knowledge, so I take his analyses seriously, e.g. (1).
But here I do not see a marxist anti-imperialist either.
On the contrary, he seems to be enthusiastic about the war of the good West, however many human lives it may cost.
(1) https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/may/04/us-len...
Btw, I strongly suspect you still do not understand the difference between historical and political Marxism (nothing to do with "the war of the good West"...just read about historiography) but if you just consider the theme of Wages of Destruction, it should be extremely obvious to you that Tooze is a historical materialist (again though, I would consider whether you know enough about historiography and economics to understand the nuances of these points i.e. if you didn't study economic history to postgrad level, then you likely do not).
(I do not claim understanding marxism, it's a vast field und marxists enjoy fighting each other. I actually took a marxism course in university - it mainly convinced me that Marx' economic theory is wrong (labour theory of value) and that this smart guy Sraffa in Cambridge could not fix it (or fixed it to death))
You are telling me I am wrong because you lived in Berlin? Only on HN -> Sounds like you're the one showing off buddy.
This has been the problem since I was a kid; we make good inventions, but we're bad at exploiting them.
Research universities nowadays have incubators; but I think helping inventors exploit their ideas should be a function of central government.
It cannot be a function of central govt (although the level of govt support for early-stage businesses is overwhelming). Ironically, the UK has actually tried this several times: one after WW2, then again in the 60/70s...didn't work either time.
Again, the fundamental thing is: do you want to start a business? Or are you happy to sit in your university tithing the rest of the population? You see this in the private sector too, the default position of most execs is to maximise the options package and check out.
I'm not talking about throwing money at start-ups at all. Such an agency could run on a shoestring, if it could influence other government agencies like the Patent Office, drafters of bills, committee members and so on.
I don't care much for the idea that inventors must also be entrepreneurs, or be doomed to failure. Ideally, inventors and entrepreneurs partner-up; but entrepreneurs are pirates, and inventors partner-up at their peril. I guess that's the benefit of having both roles in the same person.
None of anything relating to the Patent Office or Parliament is relevant. You do need to throw money at it...that is how you convince academics not to do other things with their time. All of them have the option of just teaching, taking three months holiday a year, and collecting a decent salary.
Right, that is the problem, you need both sides in one person. In the UK, there is no comprehensive education. When you are 15, you get put into maths/sciences or english/arts. So no-one who becomes an academic is interested in anything else at all (and PHd/assistant work is usually extremely underpaid, as in £17k/year...so almost everyone who has any other potential leaves before then). Where they have tried to bring someone else in, the academic will almost always assume that it is all a capitalist hoax/trick, and they are being swindled...it is an insurmountable psychological barrier for most people, so it does have to be both sides in one person (the UK is not like the US, you think academics in the US are left-wing, in the US they would be called communists...the culture of enterprise is non-existent).
Again, the only places that I am aware of that have gotten over this are Manchester and Sheffield. Both second-tier institutions but they gathered academics who were able to understand the commercial application of inventions, and got large companies involved in working closely with these people so they could get on the right path (Manchester with graphene, Sheffield with an manufacturing process institute). You also see the same thing in Oxford/Cambridge but it is far more diffuse (and has far more people from outside the UK) and limited to pharma, some kinds of tech (i.e. ARM).
That is a major change in energy availability (down 25% from 2005!). Without easily available energy they're probably going to struggle on all sorts of things. That is a huge threat (more than a threat, really) to living standards.
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/per-capita-energy-use?tab...
The reduction in power production due to demand in the UK has been by moth-balling coal plants (which produced 30-40% of power in 2000 to 0-4% now). Turning them on when needed.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC?locat...
My tv might have gone from a 23 inch CRT to a 65inch lcd, but I would hazard a guess that the old CRT might have burnt a few watts in its day.
LED lights is a blessing and a curse- instead saving energy people emit more light for the same money. Outdoor spaces are well lit throughout the night creating light pollution.
The metric we need is probably price, which has been disastrous over the past year.
If the UK has managed to free up 25% of their energy consumption there really shouldn't be articles complaining about things not being levelled up. The country would be in a near utopian era of excess. We should be seeing articles talking about how quality of life for the poor has suddenly jumped by a massive amount.
1. The UK is obviously struggling to replace coal. They've run out of the stuff and their energy access has collapsed. They managed to keep going for a few years with exports [0] then it completely conked out around 2015.
2. The BBC is running headlines under 'World Energy Crisis' where as far as I can tell "World" translates into UK and France [1]. It isn't China and India, certainly not over the last decade. This makes absolutely no sense if it was a country that just shrugged off a quarter of its energy use because it was just that gosh-darned good. Someone thinks the UK is really struggling for ergs.
3. You're trying to argue that the story here is efficiency despite the fact that basic supply-demand logic suggests it is supply that is the problem. If it was efficiency ... well, energy markets don't work that way, efficiency causes use to go up. But more importantly we'd be seeing the UK entering in an age of luxury and excess and that really isn't the political vibe coming out of the country. They don't look like they have massive surpluses, they look stressed. Happy people don't Brexit.
You can try to insult me all you like, but you're avoiding a rather large elephant in the room here. If there are standard-of-living problems in the UK, it is probably linked to energy availability. Energy correlates really well to almost everything good.
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-prod-source-s...
This situation will get worse, everywhere.
Partly, but the UK has higher inflation than many other European countries facing the same global situation. Brexit and broader economic mismanagement are also factors.
Cuts also have a tendency to be a false economy. For example, underfunding the NHS ‘saves’ money on the balance sheet, but the long term costs to the economy of a less healthy population very likely outweigh those savings. Many of the budget items on the chopping block are really investments, not mere costs.
>annual funding from the national government to local councils in England fell from £41 billion to £26 billion adjusted
With 45M citizens in England without London, that was £1000 per person. Who would start a company with that amount of funding?
The article doesn't explain why the population is incapable of creating value creating processes on their own. Every third world country is supposed to reform their economy and offer goods on the global market. With all their access to knowledge and production processes, why does Manchester need the help of the national government?
Because Manchester cannot set their own policies. Only Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and London can (to a degree) define their own policies (aka devolution [1]). The rest of England cannot set their own tax or social policies nor control their own budgets.
[1] hhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devolved,_reserved_and_excepte...
The poor are not as poor elsewhere, this should be borne in mind when discussing where funds are allocated.
And, perhaps more pertinently, the economic structure of the UK viz London/Regions has been the same for the last 1000 years. This has little to do with anything any government can fix.
That's not what I understood - I thought that during the industrial revolution the north of England (also the belt of Scotland) was the powerhouse of the economy? I also understood that in medieval times East Anglia was the center of wealth in the UK?
It's been "preferential" to "attach" to London since Roman times, ie., if your ROI is proportional to your output, then london has been "the place to spend" for 2000 years.
The industrial revolution "levelled up" parts of the north which had advantageous geography and resources, but that was a period of "growth redistribution" which acted against the tidal forces of preferential attachment.
Absent something outside the basic logic of ROI-tomorrow prop-to ROI-today (eg., ports, coal, etc.), that is what dominates.
Gov. policy here is pretty hopeless; you can make marginal improvements, but it is strictly, and quite literally, a waste of money.
Both for each £1 of gov spending, and each £1 of private spending, more impact on your goals are achieved in London (et al.).
Eg., one has to argue £10mil on some local transport for a <few hundred to use a week is worthwhile, whilst £10mil in london would enable 1000s/week.
It isnt, and in any case, makes little difference to the overall picture. "Levelling up" then means that the gov redistributes money from economically productive areas, to unproductive ones, to make marginal improvements.
There's a limited amount any gov can actually do that; too much and there's nothing left to redistribute.
FWIW I think that the large towns in the north of England are a huge opportunity for the UK; they have extensive infrastructures and could provide excellent standards of living for their inhabitants. Many friends have relocated there as soon as they have secured a solid remote role - or on retirement. Access to countryside, a better local infrastructure and cheaper housing are very attractive. If economic activity could be boosted there I think it would create a lot of hidden value.
For reference, London does not have the poorest towns/area in the UK. They tend to be seaside towns or towns in the northeast.
Of course, London is most poor when factoring in housing costs, but it is also massive compared to any other town [1]. The poorest area in the UK are the poorest in Europe [2].
1. https://www.trustforlondon.org.uk/data/poverty-rates-by-regi... (data focused on London highlights that London is the worst.)
2. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/jun/28/england-poor...
I agree with your general point. There are some very poor areas in London but the index of multiple deprivation lowest ranked places are elsewhere. And if you are able to work, you have more options in London than in a small town with limited public transport.
The infographic that I wanted to link [1] also has a link to the original data.
[1]: http://inequalitybriefing.org/graphics/briefing_43_UK_region...
It seems the author too, as they annotated them with the conclusions we are supposed to see.
Aside from that, I think the graphs should be rotated 90 degrees so decline is down and time progresses to the right.
I dislike the ugly color choice, but that's at least somewhat defensible on a11y grounds.
I read somewhere (can't find the link, sorry) that ROI on every £1 invested, is about £5-7 in the South East (Elizabeth Line, tube extensions, DLR extensions, roads etc.), versus slightly more than parity for other regions i.e. £1 -> £1-2.
Blaming the current Government for doing nothing (arguably in power for 13 years including a coalition, a 'European event' and COVID), versus not blaming the previous Government (also in power for 13 years, Gulf War, and the Olympics) largely voted for by the very regions that are complaining about not being levelled up seems, a bit disingenuous. I really don't know why journalism (and popular opinion) is so simplistic that it expects "results now!". Tories approved the Jubilee Line extension, completed under Labour, Labour approved the Elizabeth Line, completed under the Tories, etc. etc.
A major part of the problem, if not the problem, in this country is the adversarial politics we now have. No matter who is in charge, and what they propose, the default position of the opposition (no matter who it is), is either "no!", or "you're not doing that!".
So we have the absurd situation that, for example, the HS2 rail project was supposed to have a North East spur. "Too much!" "Ok we'll cancel it!" "Not enough!" "Where's our spur gone!". Rinse repeat.
"Levelling up" involves getting physical goods and services quickly from point A to point B. If we don't improve transport infrastructure at the national level, and local level, in all regions, there's never going to be any improvement.
Next up for London in the next decade will be (in progress, and proposed): the new Blackwall Tunnel, a new Thames Crossing in Kent/Essex, Crossrail 2, a DLR extension, a Bakerloo line extension, and finally a bridge or tunnel across the Thames (possibly for the DLR) around the Dagenham area.
Rest of the country? A new Mersey tunnel? Nope. A new Tyne tunnel nope?
The ideal, once you are no longer productive, is to extract rent from the next generation. It's sheer greed from the old, usually reset by disease, famine, or war. We've conquered all of these and now suffer at the hands of unproductive eternals who shackle the young.
Societies which burden their youth like this will suffer in the future.
Blaming politicians/govt does does help. Often cumulatively people voluntarily give away their autonomy to the scums over decades, until a stalemate is reached.
The only way out of that stalemate, as some people have pointed out here, a violent revolution, and then the whole cycle is repeated. This is human nature, no degree of hyper analyzing is going to solve the situation in the long run.
if there is no realistic hope of economic progress, people will just stop trying
we already accept that home ownership has become "for the rich"...what next? car ownership?
we can brag about our low unemployment rate...it doesn't look so rosy when you factor in workforce participation