What exactly is the risk?
What exactly is the risk?
This is why we have sex-segregated spaces like locker rooms, bathrooms and prisons, to reduce the risk to women from violent and sexually abusive men. It's nothing at all like black people being forced to use different bathrooms - this is a segregation that almost all women want to remain in place.
It is also a safety issue in contact sports if males are allowed to compete with women.
> It is also a safety issue in contact sports if males are allowed to compete with women.
Women’s sports rarely allow heavy contact, and we are plenty comfortable with other natural differences such as height and weight. We also have plenty of precedent for people playing things like Ultimate Frisbee as a contact co-ed sport and things are fine.
Trans-identifying males have the same patterns of criminality as other males. The ones in prison are even more likely to have been locked up for sex crimes, when compared to other men in prison.
https://aninjusticemag.com/are-50-of-trans-women-in-prison-s...
Largely the point being that this sample would only include prisoners with serious long punishment crimes, like sex crimes. It’s hardly a random sample.
Probability of sex crime given you’re in prison for a serious crime is not a reliable indicator of baseline probability of a sex crime.
Also see this: https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-rorschach-test/
It explains how additional data including from later years, and from New Zealand, supports the observation that these men are more likely to be in prison for sex crimes than men in general, and much, much more likely than actual women.