And they failed to hire enough people to bring their AR headset to market which is the other side of the coin.
https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/leading-apple-with/9781...
But some people still have this belief that 9 women can make a baby in a month.
“Brooks' law is an observation about software project management according to which adding manpower to a software project that is behind schedule delays it even longer.”
I also think they’re doing research, not development most of the time. Such projects can’t be time-estimated, so they can’t be late (managers or outsiders still might call them late, though), and often can’t be parallelized well (“9 women cannot make a baby in one month”), so starting out with a larger team may not have helped, either.
Adoption is a key metric that differentiates a successful product vs. failed product.
Google Glasses was lunched before Google was widely known as a creepy spyware company too. I don't even think computer geeks would be impressed anymore.
This is only true if you can’t see the future that’s right in front of your eyes. Also unless something will violate laws of physics, it’s not wise to say that never will happen or is impossible to achieve
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/oblong-minority-report-john-...
We also already have Quest 2 as a pretty good VR device that’s shipped, not to mention stuff from other companies like valve
It really isn't in front of my eyes, and won't be for a long time.
> <link to fantasy interfaces>
No idea why it's here. And yes you are restricted by the laws of physics and human biology.
> We also already have Quest 2 as a pretty good VR device that’s shipped
VR is a) distinctly different from AR, b) requires bulky headsets, and c) borderline unusable for any extended periods of time
Yeah, you didn’t cite any laws that restrict this future. You’re wrong.
Let’s also not be disingenuous. those “fantasy interfaces” are working prototypes and not just movie CGI. There are also real world products like NReal. You’re not familiar enough with the subject despite being confidently wrong
> VR is a) distinctly different from AR, b) requires bulky headsets, and c) borderline unusable for any extended periods of time
1. There is pass through AR which what Quest headsets and the new Apple headset will support
2. Bulky headsets are the past and present. That isn’t the future, or even the near future
I'm not wrong. I just don't call wishful thinking "the future", "reality" etc.
> Let’s also not be disingenuous. those “fantasy interfaces” are working prototypes and not just movie CGI
Prototypes are not "actual usable interfaces that are used by real humans for any extended periods of time". Note how his own company uses none of these interfaces.
> There are also real world products like NReal
Ah yes. A pair of galsses with 46 degree field of view that you need to connect with a cable to the actual device where all the processing and control happens.
> what Quest headsets and the new Apple headset will support
Ah yes. The new Apple headset that you know literally nothing about will one hundred percent will have this... Even though it's rumoured not to be VR device
> Bulky headsets are the past and present. That isn’t the future, or even the near future
Oh? We've solved the question of batteries? Of compact CPUs and GPUs capable of processing this? Etc. And all this is coming in near future?
> A pair of galsses with 46 degree field of view that you need to connect with a cable to the actual device where all the processing and control happens.
Yes, and it’s shipped and will continue to be improved through iteration.
> Ah yes. The new Apple headset that you know literally nothing about will one hundred percent will have this... Even though it's rumoured not to be VR device
We know more about the Apple device through patent filings and leaks. It is a VR device with pass through that will likely cost $3000. Their AR prototype costs too much to ship.
> Oh? We've solved the question of batteries? Of compact CPUs and GPUs capable of processing this? Etc. And all this is coming in near future?
All of the issues that you’ve cited can be fixed and improved gradually; these devices are already real and shipped. Yes, these improvements are coming in the near future. As for batteries, that’s been solved 1-2 years ago. Your complaints are very similar to the pundits dumping on the first release of the iPhone. It’s not that hard to see the overall trend of better, faster, cheaper for tech product evolution. It’s not the first time it’s happened, nor will it be the last
I don’t understand why you keep doubling down on a subject that you know nothing about.
No you don't. Apple routinely files hundreds of patents (any major company does that). It doesn't mean those patents will end up as a shippable product.
All you know is the never ending rumor mill.
> these devices are already real and shipped.
Of course they are not
> As for batteries, that’s been solved 1-2 years ago.
Of course they haven't. There's literally no battery + cpu + gpu tech that you can put in an AR device lightweight enough for extended use.
All "lightweight" ones use a cable to connect to an external device.
The rest are bulky and heavy. Because you cannot bullshit your way out of physics and biology by pretending "this has been solved".
> I don’t understand why you keep doubling down on a subject that you know nothing about.
There's objective reality and there's wishful thinking
Analysts have a good track record of predicting what Apple is about to release including specs. Stop pretending that it hasn’t happened on a regular basis over the years.
> Of course they are not
No. We have AR and VR devices that have shipped and sold in the millions. Those are facts whether or you decide to accept them.
> Of course they haven't. There's literally no battery + cpu + gpu tech that you can put in an AR device lightweight enough for extended use.
It already has existed in the form of 3rd party magnetically switchable batteries. It’s been selling on Amazon for at least two years now. As for the headset capable of doing this, 10-20 million have already been sold. Just because you’re not aware of it, doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist.
> The rest are bulky and heavy. Because you cannot bullshit your way out of physics and biology by pretending "this has been solved".
Waiting for incremental improvements to happen is very different from being impossible to do. This is not a hard concept to understand. Again, these are shipped devices and not vaporware. You keep claiming that some law of physics or biology makes this impossible to accomplish yet you still can’t name a specific law that prohibits progress ie you’re full of it
> There's objective reality and there's wishful thinking
Yeah there’s wishful thinking on your part pretending that you’re not ignorant of the subject, but the facts are in my side.
Did they announce an AR headset, not bring it to market and someone else's got wildly popular or...?