Twitter is indeed going great [0].
The fact is, the mass exodus from twitter hasn't materialized. It's still the primary medium of discourse for all of the major actors who used it before. Musk has maintained 95% of functionality while drastically reducing costs. When the dust settles, MBA's will be studying this for decades.
Another list idea: compile all of the "twitter will die in a week if you mess with this system" tweets from senior twitter engineers that Musk fired a few months ago.
I disagree. Everyone I deemed worth following on Twitter is now on Mastodon. Over there it's like Twitter's early days. It's growing and I think it will continue to do so until it reaches mass adoption.
It's unclear if your intention was to frame this as a "genius business outcome" but this is really a fairly expected outcome given the business parameters. Outside of adages like "the last 10% of the work takes 90% of the resources", and "to add another 9 of reliability, multiply your budget by 10", you can also intuit this result pretty easily just from your own experience (if you have a background in the field). If you proposed a project of "build Twitter, but multi-hour downtime is acceptable, key features like logging in with 2FA breaking is acceptable, complying with local laws and paying bills is optional, etc" then you'll find the necessary budget will be much smaller than otherwise.
Things like whether twitters losses in 2023 will be higher or lower than 2022. Whether user numbers will go up or down. Whether revenue will go up or down. Number of minutes of outages. Etc
Personally I'd bet on less losses, revenue slightly down (10% ish) and user numbers approximately the same this year compared to last.
Longer term I think the loss of verified status for journalists will stop it being a big source for their news stories, which will decrease its popularity. But that's next year at the earliest.
I understand it's not everywhere, but Mastodon engagement is surprisingly very high