But isn’t resetting the shareholders to zero exactly the problem? If we’re keeping score, the shareholders should owe the government exactly how much money was used to make the debt holders whole, right?
If elements in the finance industry keep acting irresponsibly - clearly true - why should they get a pass on personal consequences?
Now we're saying, actually, banks effectively don't impose counterparty risk on their clients. So the government is actually who's taking the counterparty risk.
If that's the government and not the customers, why did they get that privilege? Why is the government only there when the risk is fulfilled?
Limited liability is fine. It's not fine when who's really liable is the government, while the original deal was between the bank and its customer. Student loans are also not fine either, since you don't get to set them to zero.
Revoke Banks privilege of handling money. Let them play the game like the rest. Even the government itself needs to raise money using Treasury bonds. I want a fair game. This game is rigged. One player has the privilege of effectively using the government as an insurer for it's counterparty risk. It has repeatedly blown and abused that privilege. Revoke it.
Let me hold my account at the Fed if I have positive balance, just like the rest of the banks. Call it CDBC or whatever. Let me get the Fed interest rates just like banks do. The banks are free to do business as they have always done, to loan money. They are free to deal with the trench of people who need loans. Not with my money. My money is only there because they forced me to. That's not a fair system. I don't approve their usage of it for their margins but I literally don't have a choice. Which is why they also get to give me zero interest rates while the Fed gives them much higher rates.
And that's problematic for banking.
Thought experiment: for bank functionaries a strategy that has an equal chances of +10% and -40% is better than guaranteed +4% (for them EV is +5%). As a result, they are able to attract more depositors by providing higher rates that bank that went with option (2). Depositors will (rationally) chase highest rates knowing that worst case scenario - government bails them out completely.
Everyone behaves according to incentives, with the result being that money is used on ventures with -15% expected value instead of +4%.
Converting from (EV on bank accounts) to return for shareholders is non-trivial, but as long as shareholders get > 100% RoI in successful case their EV is positive.
> Bank employees could get higher bonuses, but also run higher risk of 0% bonus and losing their job.
Losing job aside, equal chances of 100% and 0% bonus is better than guaranteed 30% bonus. Depending on premium you put on having the same job, it may be better even with risk of losing job.
This scenario will not work for investments, as people understand that if startup X fails - you loose money. In "government bails out depositors completely" scenario: you invest money in bank, bank loans it to startup X, startup X fails - you get your money back (from government and ultimately taxpayers).
AFAICT the only special stakeholders in banks are depositors. Are you trying to say that depositors should run a lot more risk (i.e. not always made whole in case of illiquidity/insolvency)?
Some people, including YC CEO, argue that taxpayers should drop the "up to FDIC limit" part.
I've took another look at out conversation and you didn't do that. I was arguing against position you didn't hold. Sorry for that.