A growing number of scientists are convinced the future influences the past
vice.com
vice.com
Slow down. Assuming that time moves in one direction is not comparable to geocentrism.
- There seems to be a special direction "down", where things fall by default, because we live in the vicinity of an influential object in space, called Earth
- There seems to be a special direction "forward in time", where things happen by default, because we live in the vicinity of an influential event in time, called Big Bang
If we had stuck to the local Earth context and geocentrism, the objectivity of the "down" direction would remain unquestioned. It's when we started modeling other things outside of Earth, it became clear there's no objective "down" direction, just a more general concept of Gravity.
Carroll's argument is that it's the Big Bang, an extremely low-entropy configuration of the universe, that gives rise to the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics and the resulting emergence of an arrow of time in the forward direction. It's purely a statistical phenomenon at larger scales, and attributable to being "next to an influential event", according to him.
Stars shine until they run out of fuel, and the age of a star - the status of its fuel, the buildup of fusion products - happens as time passes. Life on planets taps into the flow of sunlight from the star (and/or the flow of heat and chemical energy from the a hot planetary core) to generate complex structures in defiance of the regular direction of entropy (not violating conservation of energy, though). So... life reverses the arrow of time?
We cannot observe in any subset of possible universes where entropy is not present or is working backwards-Ergo those possibilities are wholly out of our direct perception.
That does not mean that causality cannot run in reverse, however, only that we cannot interact with those mechanisms in a way that would preclude our existence or observation.
Sure, but some claims which cannot be tested experimentally or observationally are nonetheless important. For example, the claim “it’s important that scientific hypotheses be tested experimentally or observationally.”
It doesn't defy the direction of entropy. Frankly, I'm not sure why you have that notion? Entropy is a measure of system's state of equilibrium. Moving energy from a concentrated source, and distributing it more equally (across life forms and other complex structures), is following the direction of entropy, as is it makes energy more equalized, in contrast to the former state where energy levels are more unequal between highly concentrated areas (like stars, the Big Bang), and areas with less energy.
At least in France we take as fait accompli that causality is non trivial and that objects are non local at best: either you can consider objects as one despite immense distance between them, or you accept information passed between them in reverse time. Both are hard to swallow.
The regular arrow of time from the human perspective, "leaks" changes into the future. The future is constantly being changed by the past.
You can measure those changes by many ways, the 2nd. law of thermodynamics is everywhere just to make sure you see this happening across everything.
So, probably there are other non-discovered underlying mechanisms in the reality that are already signaling changes from the future "leaking" into the past, changing the past right infront of us, without us noticing it.
A probably omnipresent mechanism for observing the future changing the past, valid in the whole cone of light visible to us, is the probability law.
If you have 10 millions of possible events in a probability, one of them is the exact thing it will happen in the future, hence the information of what happens in the future is right here, existing in the past.
Yeah, you can say how would the nature could use this information without powerful processors predicting branches trillions of times per second on Earth right now?
Well, the brain is a pattern predictor, quite several parts of the brain are firmly attached to the physics of the universe, biochemically but what if the pattern prediction mechanisms in the brain are actually an adaptation of the evolution, just like wings to fly, but with those mechanisms the brain uses probability to "see" information from the future, and here in the "present", it changes the past (from the perspective of the future created originally from the past), if the brain "chooses now" to do something different that what originally created the future it "saw" by analizing patterns, essentially evaluating probabilities.
So the Probability Law would be a kind of Inverted 2nd. Law of Thermodynamics.
It would work perfectly as law of the universe: from the future to the past, the revered time of arrow, one single event created "a" future, but from the regular arrow of time, there would a range of probable future outcomes which you cannot precisely say it has "1" (100%) probability of ocurring, right to exact moment till the future becomes the present.
And it was right there all the time, something obvious infront of everybody in the world, like electricity (which was suspected by many across thousands of years, but just "discovered" recently).
Perhaps given infinite time, we will randomly get back to a low entropy state infinite times, but I don't know enough about the math to say for sure.
It's basically a softer version of Russell's paradox but for cognition and reality.
Just like noticing that "down" actually means "towards the center of the local planet" did not make water suddenly flow uphill.
Roger Penrose proposed that as far as I know, when Carroll was probably a high schooler.
No. At least as early as Arthur Eddington when Penrose was a twinkle in his dad's eye.
Also, geocentrism is actually disproven by numerous observations, which in fact guided the mathematical formulation of our current physics.
One thing is (almost) certain: the laws of physics as we know them (i.e. the Standard Model and General Relativity) are incomplete ("wrong"). That doesn't mean any old model is equivalent or as useful as either, though.
The validity of a coordinate system with the earth stationary at the center is guaranteed by the general principle of relativity. To get the stars to circle around it you would add a radially increasing potential in classical mechanics, or some coordinate shenanigans in GR. These coordinate systems are used in aerospace engineering to get convenient expressions of L1 points, etc.
I know it sounds hard to believe, but if you're willing to bite the bullet that "the center of the universe" has no physical meaning, then earth can't be not the center of the universe any more than it can be.
Or if I’m lucky enough to have the time to watch the moon move slowly, it feels natural to my senses to say it’s moving across the sky. The moon feels like it’s moving around me. But I can stretch my brain and imagine the reality.
Sometimes math arrives first. We have the new maths (or an problem in current math), and that points to some possibility. Because it’s not observable, ignoring our senses is a requirement to develop that in the model and measurements and experiments. Eventually we are able to observe it.
I’m not familiar with history of astronomy. Would it be the case where the observations that lead to heliocentric thought we nuanced and had to build on more obvious perceptions that things aren’t adding up? Was the wobble of Venus part of that?
And you’re right, old models are useful and remain relevant a lot! The model of time moving linearly will likely always be the most useful model for navigating our daily choices (if we have any at all!)
Imagine a ball being thrown up and then falling down, in a parabola. Reversing a video of that still gives you a video of a ball in a normal parabola trajectory.
F = ma
F = m dv/dt
u = -t dv/dt = -dv/du
- F = m dv/du
If you stop there it looks like you're right, but you also must change the definition of velocity to account for the new time.
v = dx/dt = -dx/du
+F = m dx/du
So the direction of gravity (the force F) stays the same when you flip time. I can explain that without the math by pointing out that if you took a video of a ball being thrown up and caught and played it in reverse, it would still depict a ball being thrown up and caught.
Does that make more sense to you?
Why not?
The "arrow of time" almost always requires thermodynamic arguments. And that requires a concentration of "low entropy" to move toward "high entropy". Which, by definition, are "boundary conditions" and not a fundamental part of your physical rules.
If, for example, your universe is entropically uniform, is there an "arrow of time"? And, even if there were, could you detect it?
However, I would like to point out that it's not like we haven't had this kind of issue before. The Bohr-Einstein debates were a good example. Einstein favored a "fields" interpretation of quantum mechanics. Unfortunately, Einstein's interpretation predicted that atomic states wouldn't decay, and that was clearly, obviously wrong, and Bohr very much hammered on that.
Except that Einstein wasn't "clearly, obviously wrong." As you increasingly isolate excited atoms, their atomic states take longer and longer to decay. The problem was that the experiments of the day couldn't create these kinds of singular quantum state systems--they were stuck with systems that were contaminated with lots of thermodynamic interactions.
We may be seeing something similar here. We are just starting to be able to put together the experiments that can probe things like Bell's Inequality. As we isolate these systems, we may find that the systems were contaminated with statistical time and that we get different results when we can isolate them.
Would we have fluctuations in that state? In which directions they would... Progress?
Isn't what you describe an anomaly like black hole or division by zero, where we cannot understand what actually happens because normal laws break because they are unsolvable with current models?
What does that even mean? If your universe is entropically uniform there is no “you”.
Nope, and there's a really great 'physics slam' about this, sadly only in German but auto-translate seems fine. https://youtu.be/z64PJwXy--8?t=519
Your entire experience of the world is defined and limited by the fact that your brain "only processes information in one direction of time" (for lack of better wording). Your personal experience does not necessarily map correctly to the real world. The same is true for both examples.
More on topic, I think our existing theories of reality tell us that the future probably affects the past, or at very least, is predetermined. If you know the solution to a differential equation, you know the state at any point in time. There's no going off the rails, so to speak. And if the system is constrained in any dimension (i.e. it's nonholonomic) then the state at any given moment relies on the full trajectory up to that point, as opposed to just the previous state. But you can flip that on its head and say that the future state determines the present trajectory. E.g. to turn a bicycle left, you have to first turn right.
Our brains like to process events in a linear sequence, from past to present to future, but this view of time might not fully capture how everything in the universe is interconnected. It's possible that our language just can't handle these complex concepts.
So, I don't think anything mentioned in this thread contradicts the idea that "time always moves in one direction" and "entropy always increases".
I'll expand here how if the arrow of time actually doesn't exist, the future could change the past without breaking our - current - understanding of physics (tragiclly because we will probably have maybe hundred of years till we change our minds about what are the properties of the universe).
In a range or probabilities of one event, one of the probabilities will always be the one is going to actually happen. Closer to the event to occur the most certain you can be about which one of those, could be the one that will happen.
Here's the catch, you have to change your mind a bit, in our current understanding of physics, the information of the future event which has not happen yet, already exists here in the past for that event.
Now, if you know - and you know - the outcome of an event, you most certainly will be able to choose if you go along that path, or you choose to change the future event to something else. Whoalá, the future changed the past.
Brains of earth continously do this, every second of our entire lives, animal brains do this too, almost all life on Earth has some neurological, physiological, chemical predictive mechanism in place.
An example, you're about to walk across a street, you see a car coming, now your brain "predicts" you'll be hit by that car if you just keep walking, you stop walking to avoid certain death, done, the future changed the past. The information - really close to 100% of probability of death - extracted by the brain from the sheer reality of the universe, allowed you to survive.
And no current understanding of physics got harmed anywhere along the way of the future changing the past.
So no, it's not at all incompatible with retro-causality. When you think about retro-causality, the idea that time "moves" is completely superfluous. Time is probably not even a real thing.
Granted, I'm not a physicist and I'm sure any physicist working on this totally understands that. Just wanted to point it out.
(It's like a rollback of database transaction, where not only the database state, but also the state of everything, including your brain, is getting rolled back)
Scrambled eggs do actually unscramble spontaneously if you zoom in far enough. The issue is that the rate of scrambling is much higher than the rate of unscrambling so on the whole, you get scrambled eggs.
The amazing thing is that all chemical processes are actually reversible given enough energy and finesse.
The biological processes enabling that sequence can be said to have negative entropy.
If time is a true dimension rather than just something we model as a dimension, it's not unreasonable to think that outcomes in the present could be influenced by constraints that exist in the future - if the "universe" function must be valid according to some constraints at all points in the time dimension, "past" states that lead to invalid future states will never occur.
The idea of invalid universe states is of course purely fun conjecture, but this same concept also maps to probable vs improbable universe states as well. If a future state is improbable (in the sense of a Bayesian prior according to some underlying distribution of energy in the universe) that might cause the universe to evolve in a way that seems improbable at the moment by moment level, but is actually the most probable sequence of events when integrated over the entire duration of the universe.
I commented further in this line of though in another comments, about a probable (ironically), "Inverted 2nd. Law of Thermodynamics" of sorts, which it would be basically just the Law of Probability, interpreted from the point of view of not having an actual arrow of time and the fact that we have - all the time, again ironically - the information of what happens in the future (the one probability in the range which ends being the right one, actually ocurring).
Yeah, I know it would be another Law, and the universe would upside down once again for us the poor meatbags, but we were already in this position several times, discovering the electricity, quantum mechanics, relativiy, you name it.
The idea doesn't seem so different from matter being the default (vs. antimatter), relative speeds much closer to zero than to the speed of light being what's commonly observable etc.
Think about big systems. The moon is a ginormous rock that's so big it is visible from thousands of km away, but it just hangs in the sky because it's moving so fast it can cheat gravity, but we can barely even see it move. Or think about how a star can somehow explode because it starts running out of fuel (and our sun is just yellow hot - you can do that with a blow torch, but it's powered by a nuclear explosion - I guess it's got quite a bit of surface area?). And little things are even weirder, consider how fast the proteins in your cells bounce around. Then there's quantum - our gut intuition is so out of its comfort zone it's basically meaningless.
powered by a nuclear explosion
Not quite accurate. The nuclear fusion going on inside the sun's core is not an explosion. In a nuclear explosion, a significant fraction of the fuel in a given area is consumed in an instant. The sun's core on the other hand only fuses its fuel extremely slowly. Pound for pound, the sun's core generates less heat energy than mammalian muscle tissue. It's just that there's so much of it that the heat energy is extremely well insulated.
Incorrect. The out of atmosphere color temperature of Sol is ~5900K. The average color temperature of the Milky Way is 4700-5000K.
Usually the fundamental laws are regarded as time symmetric already.
What does this mean: > Instead, retrocausal models suggest that there is a mechanism that allows circumstances in the future to correlate with past states.
Surely future states inevitably correlate with past states?
Perhaps it all makes sense but that article doesn't make a compelling case.
This is just one example I found but I think there might be another experiment from a few years ago that was getting some attention at the time (although I might be confusing it with a theory paper):
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-29970-6
There are probably better overview articles on retrocausality.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23731652-800-quantum-...
https://aeon.co/essays/can-retrocausality-solve-the-puzzle-o...
https://phys.org/news/2017-07-physicists-retrocausal-quantum...
I'd have to read through all these more thoroughly but I wonder if there's some "time locality" property in these models?
Well, in addition to time reversal, you also have to mirror the universe and replace all particles with their anti-particles.
He means to correlate through effects going the future -> past direction...
What can it mean to have an effect propagating into the past? Surely our usual definition of time is simply a series of events. If so then it always points in one direction for the entity sitting at the leading edge, the current event is always succeeded by the next event.
All I have to go on is the article, perhaps the source material makes more sense.
If so, does that mean that the big bang could actually be the end of the universe and we're just experiencing time in "reverse" toward an initial starting state that we perceive as the future?
In very informal terms, anywhere where there is very low entropy (higher order), any direction away from that will likely (to the point of certainty) be in a direction of higher entropy (lower order).
For instance, if you have a jar of red & blue marble, with high order (such as perfect alternating layers of red vs blue marbles) then any disturbances (such as shaking the jar, reaching in and moving a handful, …) will almost certainly reduce order.
And no practical amount of shaking the jar will ever return the marbles to a high order state again.
Even though any close up video of the marbles being jostled will reveal the same physical properties and behavior for the marbles, whether played forward or backward.
So at the individual marble level, laws are symmetric.
But at the jar of marbles level, one direction of time looks very different than the other.
We, and the particles that make us, and our environment, are the marbles whose configuration is more disordered the further in time we get from the Big Bang.
So we perceive the time direction away from the Big Bang as the future, toward the Big Bang as the past.
And the statistical “force” of increasing entropy provides the useful energy we use to survive, learn, create useful islands of order, in the greater sea of increasing disorder.
Marbles in a jar are not arranged in a neat spacial grid, but in all kinds of configurations.
The chance of recovering any near perfect starting symmetry, depending on the size of a jar, might take decades or millions, or more years.
In the meantime, all that energy being used to shake the jar is generating huge amounts of heat entropy.
It is possible that that the original expansion, inflation, and even dark energy are also driven by thermodynamics, but we just don’t know that.
Im not saying you're wrong, but then there's Poincare's recurrence theorem. Entropy is funky. (Certainly not practical amounts anyway)
Everything we do takes advantage of the higher to lower entropy gradient.
We get relatively organized photons from the sun, a percentage get stored in wood of trees, so we can burn that for heat which can drive an engine or generate electricity, with the end result is doing some useful work.
And we don’t actually lose any energy, due to conservation of energy.
But we have now lost USABLE energy, because all our captured energy is now heat diffusely spreading out from our engine into the atmosphere where it becomes uncontrolled DISORGANIZED and therefore no longer usable.
So clear causes tend to occur in past of clear effects.
For large objects.
But again, if you watch videos of individual marbles bouncing around, forward or backward, you see just as clear chains of cause and effect in either direction.
This can't be true. Take the case where there's only 2 marbles, it's likely that at some point that shaking them will return them to the original state. For higher numbers of marbles the probability becomes lower and lower, but is never 0.
Exactly. It doesn’t take a very large jar to make a return to an original state practically impossible. But even for two marbles, shaking them to return them to their original locations costs a fair amount of organized energy.
And that is organized chemical energy in your muscles, which you are dissipating as disorganized heat energy due to your efforts, increasing the total disorganization.
And the marbles are microscopically wearing down, shedding compounds. The jar is also wearing down. Both becoming less organized.
So even with two marbles, overall entropy continues increasing.
We can locally reverse entropy, only at the cost of actually increasing entropy in total.
- Organizing your day takes effort and uses up useful organized energy.
- Computation uses up useful organized energy.
- Your cells, maintaining their metabolism, uses up useful organized energy.
No matter what we do, entropy still increases.
(0.00..0..1 = 0 just as 0.99 repeating equals 1)
IIUC my professor right the probability is non zero but is practically impossible for a large number of incompressible spheres.
– The laws of physics are essentially time-symmetric, and they have no concept of causation or of a preferred direction of time. In principle, the future causes the past as much or as little as the past causes the future. Physics effectively only says they have to be consistent with each other, as related by the laws of physics.
– The apparent directionality of time that we perceive is suspected to be tied to the entropy gradient we are on. See the “past hypothesis” for example [0].
> Does this essentially mean that all states in time already exist and our consciousness is just traversing this 4D space in one direction on the time axis?
– I would say that all moments in time are equally real, including our consciousness at any given moment. There is no actual flow or “travelling”. The flow we perceive is merely an illusion caused by the fact that we only remember the past and not the future (which again may just be a consequence of the entropy gradient we are on). This is known as the “block universe”, or as “eternalism” [1]. The opposing view that only the current moment is real, and that the future differs from the past in its “realness”, is known as “presentism”.
– Note that any notion of “travelling” through time implies that you can draw a 2D diagram of where in time you are at each point in time, or which point in time is “real” at which point in time (in the sense that a moment in time isn’t real until time reaches that moment, but after that it is real and cannot be made unreal again), thus implying two dimensions of time. That doesn’t make any sense, and thus my personal conclusion is that the “presentism” view is nonsensical.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Past_hypothesis
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternalism_(philosophy_of_time...
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/27/d7/8c/27d78c9c3ee93c13eda4...
Holographic universe is that the physics and information in a 3+1D space time could be encoded into a 2+1D universe (with it's own physics).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tralfamadore#Slaughterhouse-Fi...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Quincunx_of_Time
Also, the concept of causality itself is a kind of underlying theme in Hannu Rajaniemi's "The Causal Angel" (2014) (3rd of a series).
I often find them insightful, especially if I am reviewing them again years later.
I've come to conclude that all of these are consistent, but that they are a metaphorical truth, in that you shouldn't interpret them as literal truth.
Gun safety advocates teach "All Guns are Loaded", another metaphorical truth. If you behave as if it were true, you will generally live longer, and be safer.
The math underlying quantum mechanics has all sorts of non-intuitive interpretations, and is often used as a gateway to woo-woo theories. I'm allergic to woo, and thus treating all of this as a metaphorical truth works best for me.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wheeler%E2%80%93Feynman_absorb...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transactional_interpretation
Metaphysics are u
It turns out I don't need physics to be interpretable, just a workable predictive tool.
Funny that your entire comment is woo.
On Vice.
About a QM thought experiment.
On Vice.
Why would there be any expectation of scientific rigor whatsoever?
"retrocausality, may seem like science fiction grist at first glance"
Stop there, vice.
Is it bad to upvote an article on HN, just because I think the comment quality is enlightening? Philosophers professing to be scientists has been troubling me more and more the past few years.
Also, gotta say many of the top comments are pretty interesting here.
https://theconversation.com/quantum-mechanics-how-the-future...
The Conversation is a site where academics blog about their papers.
Sure, journalists need ads to make money but this way too much.
I've heard people in that field talk about the possibility of loops in the time dimension, but infinitesimally short period of time is involved and local. Not enough to call it the past though.
This reminds me of an old joke my grandfather told me:
two hacker news commenters are climbing up a mountain
one of them loses his footing and falls on his butt, and asks the other to help pull him up
the other responds that this looks like a textbook case of slippery slope fall-assy and that it is beneath his intellectual dignity to even consider responding on the merits and further...
while he continues on the first commenter falls into an ice crevice and dies
ad hominem? "add Vice and 'em", I say, to your list of unreliable sources, for exaggeration, arguments of convenience, burying any counter-evidence...
I ask this question without ascribing credibility or lack thereof for Vice, but just in general.
> "One 'Super-Earth' Could Destroy Our Own Planet, Study Finds"
> A super-Earth existing in our solar system is so far hypothetical, but its effects would be incomprehensibly destructive.
Basically what's possible next is anything that can solve for conditions set by the past, and some from the future.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delayed-choice_quantum_eraser
Beware, getting from one to two is already a growing number!
[1]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transactional_interpretation
You gotta think about the (stoner) audience this article was written for, I wouldn’t take too much stock in its conclusions.
1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_Good_Things..._(Star_Trek:...
Calvin believed in pre-destination (your fate and every decision you make is decided before you exist) on the grounds that, because God exists and is omnipotent, what you are doing must therefore be what God wants to happen, both good and bad. After all, God is omnipotent, so there you go.
Today's Calvinists just replace God-driven destiny with nature-driven destiny, but the underlying tautology (X exists, therefore X was always destined to exist, as proven by the fact that it exists at all) remains the same. In fact, it's an arguably more ignorant version of Calvinism, because it requires that one completely dismisses any knowledge they have of probability theory. So it's the "smarter" Calvinism that requires you be ignorant of 20th century mathematical advances.
Hate that crap. The only people I hear talking about it are silicon valley utopians, which is probably the other reason I hate it.
I entirely fail to see how probability theory means it's impossible for the universe to be deterministic.
No to pick too many nits, but I think it is well established that knowledge of formal sciences (i.e. mathematics) does not impart knowledge about natural sciences (i.e. physics). While maths a useful tool, there are no established rules of inference for reality, and without rules of inference you can't really make claims on infinite sets.
Natural sciences allow us to find mathematical constructs that make good predictions within specific constraints or that have not yet been falsified, just because something is true in probability theory does not make it true in reality.
And yes, provability is a major problem with all these kinds of theories. We don't have a parallel universe handy as a control, and just saying "I am not going to have a ham sandwich tomorrow" isn't a viable experiment.
*: On "utilize". A central debate (the central debate?) seems to be what sort of "state access mechanism" this maps to in our lexicon: "{reading|writing} {global|local|shared} {bandwidth|memory}"
Technically, casualty required that anyway. My understanding that it's infinity in space, not time that matters here. i.e. predicting your decision to have a ham sandwich may require predicting the entire universe and since we're part of the universe and can't look from 'outside' that decision would be unpredictable from inside the universe.
>And yes, provability is a major problem with all these kinds of theories.
I think showing that quantum effects are negligible for human brains would do, at least regarding your decision to have a ham sandwich?
In addition, in the many-worlds view of quantum mechanics, we don’t follow just a single sequence of events, but all physically possible sequences of events, where the points where sequences branch off each other can correspond to different decisions we “freely” took. Meaning, when we make a decision, all applicable options of choice will become actual reality.
Compatibilism is a fancy way of saying "free will so much does not exist that what determists call free will isn't even a valid definition to use as a starting point for investigating an answer." It's not an answer to the question, it's a denial of it.
Another, simpler interpretation of Compatibilism is "if free will doesn't exist, then believing it exists or not has 0 effect on anything, because our beliefs are predetermined, and so at human scales the answers Yes and No are equivalent in all observable ways".
I dunno, seems like a "God of the gaps" thing - we can speculate on meta-meta-universes endlessly. Including one where my decision to have a ham sandwich disturbs the state of a yet higher dimension that sets the starting parameters of your higher dimension and once again I have free will.
There also isn't any free will, because there isn't actually any agent who could have it. Actions we perceive as volitional actually arise in the brain up to 7s before we "choose" them. The sense of a "me" is a post hoc add-on that claims credit for everything, in order to unite the disparate phenomena that comprise the sense of self.
There isn't actually any "me," and recognizing this is what the word "enlightenment" refers to.
The compilation of each possible Play in an Extensive Normal Form Game into a cellular automata can constitute a refutation by counterexample of your claim. It satisfies the agent condition through congruence with the technical language defining the concept of agent in artificial intelligence literature as it relates to agents in multi-agent multi-step decision theory problems. The condition of non-deterministic policies is found and shown to be optimal by Nash's justification for an mixed strategy equilibrium. The underlying mathematics that leads there is proven via Russel and there exists various proofs of the desiderata of probability from others which can begin atop that. Furthermore by compiling the formal system to get a physical system we create the ability for a logical analogy between the formal system and the physical system through Aristotle's analogical congruence concepts. We can count the cell configurations and we can count the transitional structure, but this is mostly a formality since we know through the definition of the compilation that they must agree. As far as I can tell at every single step in the laddering up there are proofs from the basics of logic to the mathematics to the use of probability to the justification through utility theory and even to the computational universality necessary to create the physical embedding of the agent in our reality.
The prior conception of guess appears laughable posterior to computation and comparison with evidence, but is just science prior and seeing it is wrong is hindsight bias posterior. It might sound laughable, but it is actually the case that it is not a laughing matter [1]. In like manner, but slightly different and perilously close to being anti-scientific is that you don't know until the observation whether guesses would go one way or another.
There is this story about a village of blind men and elephants. You are like a blind man from that village, saying that the elephant must be abstract because you felt a footprint of the elephant. Try playing with an elephant carving. It predicts footprints when you press it it into the ground. You can totally guess before you touch the elephant on the basis of the carving. The decision to focus on the untestable is a commitment to a hindsight fallacy which experimental investigation would likely refute.
H0: Free will predicts in advance of a decision problem that when a decision problem is resolved you cannot always predict the result.
H1: A lack of free will predicts of a decision problem that when a decision problem is resolved you can always have predicted the result in advance of the result, because there was only one possible resolution.
Complete Refutation of H1: The existence of halting problems. A self-reference in a decision problem refutes H1, because the self-reference
Additional strong evidence against H1: All the most successful epistemological frameworks suppose a superposition over positions which on attaining information about the next position resolves, not to a position, but to a new superposition. For example science does this. It believes we don't know for certain the theories, but we conjecture guesses and use observations to test them.
Implication of failure of H1 and the failure to refute H0: There exists a self-reference, a sort of self-concept, which prevents the resolution of a prediction prior to the resolution. Self-reference exists as a thing which must be computed.
Okay. So now we pick back up in the mathematics that deals with self-reference in game theory. In it we find equilibrium concepts which are defined with respect to self-reference and proven relative to self-reference considerations. These proofs show that the solution structure contingent on self-reference is non-deterministic.
Implication: Not only does self-reference exist, but the consequences of self-reference is the use of self-reference to refute self-referential prediction or to support self-referential prediction on the basis of utility of doing so or not doing so.
So now we know a self-reference must exist, we also know it predicts a refutation in some cases of the ability to predict it. We can also see that if the self-reference didn't exist, it would imply that there was no structure which wasn't computationally irreducible like self-reference structures are.
H3: We will see everything is predictable from the information contexts available, because agents don't exist. Example predictions: that all physics will be determinable like the position of a planet is determinable.
H4: We will that some things are not predictable, because of the existence of illusions that prevent resolution and which contain a self-reference consideration.
What we actually observe is H4. We observe H4 in at least one case, so we can't infer from H3 that we can reject H4, because H4 already rejects the safety of H3.
Let me give an example: Some deer in Africa don't see orange. Tigers, to us, are orange. To the deer they are green. The tiger color is decided by a self-reference consideration with the deer perceptual system. The deer is not going to be able to predict the future state of all tiger like we could predict the planets, because the deer is caught in a superposition with respect to a tiger's presence. When it observes a tiger, this looks the same as observing a bush. Therefore, even if it sees a bush, it can't predict that it can always model the consequence of a bush. Therefore, if we see a planet, it is incorrect to assume we can always predict the consequences of seeing a planet.
So now you can understand, if my other comment didn't click, why appeals to illusion are actually evidence for self-reference, not evidence against it. So feel free to read that comment again to see if it now clicks.
To the second question, yes. It's beyond comprehension and wondrous. It's maximum novelty and total absurdity.
An anti-enlightenment koan could be: The student came to the master and asked, “Why are tigers green?” The master responded, “The deer they are hunting can’t see orange.” The student then asked, “It is not therefore it is? How mysterious and inscrutable your answers!” But from that moment onwards the master was de-enlightened.
The comment that superdeterminism requires a higher-order determinism, which itself requires a yet-higher-order determinism... I think you're confusing it with a causal mindset. If the universe is effectively a recording, why does it need any ultimate cause? Causal thinking would only make sense from a perspective within that recording.
Of course we want to know "why is any of this here?" But what if the ultimate question doesn't actually have an answer?
It was the motivation for the movie arrival (though IMO is much better - the movie adds some drama that does not exist in the short story)
The funny line there is at this point in time. The whole article is about how the future influences the past so… at some point in time retrocauslity will be the same thing?
There is no photon. There is just a wave. The interaction probably (definitely?) depends on features of both the emitting electron and absorbing electron. There is either retrocausality or superdeterminism (or both). We don’t know which. Right now that’s not important but scientific fashion has been refusing to get this one thing. We’ll learn so much once we move past this.
Light going into a black hole? Research paper.
This rings false to my scifi-trained brain. Paradoxes emerge when information about the future allows you to change it in some way. But if the future is truly immutable, there's no reason why you can't learn what it will be. Any attempts you make to alter it will only result in the exact thing that you already knew would happen.
Maybe I'm misunderstanding the author. Maybe what they MEANT to say is if you didn't already receive an email from your future self 5 years ago, then you can't send one today that your past self will receive at that time. Just as the future is immutable, so is the past. But if we had some sort of quantum email that allowed for such a thing, it WOULD be possible to go check it today and find a message from yourself 5 years in the future.
What purpose does it serve to write sloppy interpretations of complicated, likely to not pan out hypotheses(almost always the case) on quantum mechanics?
So if this doesn't pan out, all they accomplished was that now a bunch of people are walking around with wrong information.
If it does, then we'll find out eventually anyway.
Science journalism is not useful to scientists, not helpful to nerds like me and for the masses it only contributes to misinformation and miseducation.
There are plenty of talented communicators with advanced degrees in their fields that can do this job better, and journalists should go do their jobs which is the opposite of regularly misinforming the public(inb4 cynical reply hurr durr journalists always misinform about everything <direction> wing media herp derp. Not interested.)
... or sideways!
If you want a visual model that may help to build some intuition about that, I have one at [1]. Retrocausality is not explicitly spelled out in that model but "it's uh... uh... it's down there somewhere".
Linguistics: retrocausality -- is going into my 2023 lexicon...
This also explained the "probabilistic" nature of quantum behaviors; it's only probabilistic to us because we are unaware of the influence of future events. I now believe it's extremely likely that the universe is superdetermined, and I gave up the idea of actual free will long ago.
Highly recommend "Time Loops" by Eric Wargo.
you can't just drop something like this and then walk away without telling the rest of the story
But yeah we'd like to think there's just one past and multiple different futures, but the fact that the laws of physics are time-reversible kind of makes it unlikely for both to be true.
That's not to say that it's not legitimate to talk about causes and effects and to reason using them, but when seriously considered, anything that absolutely looks like definitely a cause or an effect, needs to be considered again with the system boundaries re-drawn, that is to say, with the system boundaries drawn around the whole universe.
Take for example the cigarette lighting the forest on fire. Saying that the cigarette caused the fire is as much of a value judgement and political statement as saying that the decades-long drought caused the fire, or that humans causing global warming caused the fire, or that the cigarette companies caused the fire, or that God caused the fire. The emotional response that each of these statements elicits in various people should tell you that any statement linking cause and effect is emotional and political at its core. This reflects the nature of the humans that create these statements.
We have a built-in tendency to try to assign causes to events and effects. We should zoom out enough to understand that this is part of our humanity, not part of the way that the universe works.
What's not symmetric is in the area of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics; E.g. we never observe shards of glass spontaneously reassembling into a window pane.
1. [A New Science of Life](https://www.sheldrake.org/books-by-rupert-sheldrake/a-new-sc...)
If time is a true dimension and reality is the most probable universe when integrated over all of time, improbable states and transitions might occur in the "past" in order to enable high probability states and transitions in the future.
Human memory is a chemical process driven by entropy ("more or less"?), making it one-way(?), so retrocausal info wouldn't be accessed via any mechanism associated with stored memory.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-electron_universe
?
Side note: does anyone remember when Vice was “fringe” in its content? I mean, ten or so years ago…
I think this is embedded in science itself.
I applaud You.
I also try to listen to any future 'self' notifications.
It's mostly a fun thought experiment.
Or, I guess the point is, maybe it’s the same thing.
Another angle on it would be showing that the universe has multiple possible levels of detail - that objects behave like newtonian point masses most of the time, that digestion is replaced by a simple hunger meter when nobody's paying attention.
From this direction, time's main function is compressing "now" so there's more space for something else later.
I'd be willing to believe that everyone has a god-given amount of universe rendering time that can be allocated in different ways, and that other people's attention stacks with it in a complex, layered way.
Coupling this thought with the simulation theory, it makes me wonder how the simulation would respond to increasing entropy over a larger volume than just our local system. That is, if we send a bunch of biological/artificial agents in all directions throughout the cosmos and let them wreak havoc, would it crash the simulation? Or what if we just smash a bunch of asteroids out of their stable orbits and let their disruption cascade throughout the system? Or maybe we've already messed everything up by broadcasting highly entropic radio waves throughout a spherical volume with a radius of ~100 light years?
But there's a difference between "screaming into the void", like broadcasting radio waves, that presumably have 0 effects, and other things.
It's the same as "If a tree falls in the forest and nobody is around to hear it, does it make a sound?"
But then again, that information has to be stored somewhere right?
Like, if a tree falls in the woods and nobody is around, sure you can say it isn't being perceived so it won't be "rendered" but the moment someone walks in the forest and sees that fallen tree, it would need to be rendered from some information about the fall and information of how it looked before the fall. That information would have to be sitting somewhere in limbo waiting to be rendered. So why not just actually let it sit IN the rendered "realm" and now you have one place for data to live in. You save on data transfer fees too.
As a collection of probabilities stored as a wave.
If a bank account has a 50% probability earning a penny every second, the bank doesn't need to store all of the intermediate values for every "clock tick", but instead calculate how much has accumulated since the last time someone checked the account and store that value with a timestamp.
Not existing is the cheapest.
Then, broad strokes, location and orientation
Then pieces, level of decay
etc,
and moving between the layers is you spending your attention budget to force the universe to do more work.
I have seen creationists in web forums trot this exact argument out (only the creator was God of course).
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-universe-is-n...
https://metallicman.com/detailed-breakdown-of-consciousness-...
I would argue that the idea instead is to try to make predictions for future experiments. In the case of quantum gravity, especially string theory, these might be thought experiments (what happens if you fall into a black hole), technically infeasible experiments (what would a particle accelerator with the size of the solar system produce), or even completely hypothetical (what if the universe would have eleven macroscopic dimensions) but that does not change the underlying mindset.
When it comes to the interpretation of quantum mechanics there is just nothing left to explain. There is no experiment that decides between different interpretations, so that is it as far as most physicists are concerned.
The ideas in the linked article suffer from the same fate: there does not seem to be even a hypothetical way to test them, and the topic is therefore considered one of philosophy more than physics.
It's the extrapolation of models that we've created in the present, but those models are only our best guess at the truth. They may be revised in the future or simply not hold for the past.
Perception and reality are not in fact the same thing.
It was factual that the earth was 6000 years old, until it wasn't.
If you were not there and didn’t not commit the crime, is that past to which used to determine your conviction factual?
Whether later you are proven not guilty, the past didn’t change, but rather our perception of it.
I'm not enough of a skeptic to say "don't trust the models of the past"; memory turns out to be a pretty good model. So does carbon dating.
But the reason you say "you were not there and did not commit the crime" is because you don't remember being there. Maybe you even remember being elsewhere. But that doesn't mean it's true, memory is fallible.
You might say that you even have photos of yourself somewhere else at the time. But if there were photos of you at the crime scene, would that change what the past was? Maybe your memory is shoddy, or maybe the photos are fake.
A growing number of people in general are becoming more superstitious, and more easily convinced of even more incredible occurrences.
If in my physics theory I redefine that past=future and future=past then I have a physics theory where the future influences the past, and very strongly so.
To make this no longer be (at some point in the future) the state of affairs, how could it be done (make it "in fact")?
"Why not?" seems like a decent first attack to the problem - why are physicists (or, scientists in general) so bad at philosophy? For one, I would nominate the "When you have a powerful hammer, everything looks like a nail" psychological phenomenon, as one plausible part of the puzzle.
Retrocausality, or the idea that events in the future can influence events in the past, is a concept that challenges our conventional understanding of time and causality. Although it is an intriguing concept that arises in some interpretations of quantum mechanics, it is important to note that there is currently no experimental evidence supporting retrocausality.
As a result, it is difficult to predict how retrocausality could be influenced or used in technology, since we have no concrete examples of retrocausality occurring in the physical world. However, we can speculate on how such technology might work if retrocausality were indeed possible.
Communication: If retrocausality were real, it could potentially be harnessed for faster-than-light communication or even communication with the past. Such technology might allow us to send messages or information backward in time, which could have a significant impact on how we understand and interact with our own history.
Computing: Retrocausal computing could theoretically be used to perform complex calculations more efficiently by taking advantage of future outcomes or solutions to influence the computational process in the past.
Energy production: If retrocausality could be controlled, it might be possible to harness energy from future states of a system and use it to power devices or processes in the past.
However, it is important to reiterate that these applications are purely speculative and based on the assumption that retrocausality is a real phenomenon. Until there is experimental evidence supporting retrocausality or a more comprehensive understanding of how it might work, it is unlikely that we will see any practical technologies utilizing this concept.