People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of Cars
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of Computers
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of the Internet
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of LLMs
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of Computers
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of the Internet
People Had to Be Convinced of the Usefulness of LLMs
"This happened for X so it will happen for Y" isn't an argument on its own - you either need to make a connection between X and Y, or say something fundamental about Y which makes the statement true.
If they are not convinced, the thing doesn't happen?
And people who have to bend their perception of reality to protect a vested interest. For software engineers the skills and attributes we take pride in are our software craft and our intelligence. So it's normal to see that the attacks on AI are especially vicious on HN.
I'd say the division is about 50 50.
Gpt4 will not replace us. But it's a herald for something that will. That is reality.
This is mostly what the people who described as “rational” say all the time, but there’s no rationality or even a deep conversation about what to do if this happens. I can flip a coin and it will half of the times tell me that it’s the end! Both of this camps are arguing like political sides and the conversation is usually a repeated instance of some beliefs on both sides.
I believe, instead, we can talk about the practical ways we can deal with this change. For example we can start with looking at what other fields that got automated did. Unions? Regulations? Wild west? Free market capitalism? Monopolies? What? Or we can discuss how to take advantage of this new change. Just sayin…
There is another problem though, which is very important to note. As much as this change is impactful, there are so much nonsense and bulsh*t going around it because some people are financially invested. Sometimes people make statements without revealing their true intentions. I imagine, that a person who is right now, integrating ChatGPT into something and dreaming about getting rich fast, is not gonna believe into whatever cautionary tail others tell. This specific aspect of the current hype, unlike the actual product, is dramatically similar to the crypto hype. It doesn't help either.
Edit: fix typo