Oliver Stone Releases Trailer for His Pro-Nuclear Energy Movie
hollywoodreporter.com
hollywoodreporter.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France#Messme...
Meanwhile Germany decided to phase out their nuclear generation over decades due to environmental concerns, and ended up re-commission old coal plants to meet demand. The full story of this is complicated and is also thanks to the current gas crisis in Europe, but the fact remains that the decision to phase out nuclear has lead to more carbon emissions, not less.
https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/qa-why-germany-phasing-...
I think the US view of nuclear power has been really complicated by the anti-war movement of the 1960s and 1970s, where nuclear power was (not unreasonably) linked to the military industrial complex. That said, I think the largest obstacle to nuclear power in the US is the federal structure of the government. The US still doesn't have a centralized location for the long-term storage of nuclear waste thanks to Harry Reid killing the Yucca Mountain project in the late 2000s. No state representative has any incentive to allow a facility like that to be constructed in their state, and the federal government is unable or unwilling to force the issue.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yucca_Mountain_nuclear_waste_r...
I'm heartened to see climate activists slowly but surely starting to take nuclear seriously. I want to plug Emergency Reactor as doing to difficult work of trying to turn the tide of public perception and make nuclear central to the climate change discourse. https://www.emergencyreactor.org/
Nuclear is also way too expensive. Building those 40 reactors would cost way, way more than building equivalent production in wind and solar.
Renewables and storage are cheaper, faster and yes, safer. There is absolutely no rational reason to keep building new nuclear reactots.
Since costs are rising in (just about) all countries I suspect regulations are not the sole cause of the problem.
"The authors also found that while changes in safety regulations could account for some of the excess costs, that was only one of numerous factors contributing to the overages."
"Many of the excess costs were associated with delays caused by the need to make last-minute design changes based on particular conditions at the construction site or other local circumstances, so if more components of the plant, or even the entire plant, could be built offsite under controlled factory conditions, such extra costs could be substantially cut."
Fixing the regulations is nearly impossible. So much of alternative energy projects, nay ALL natural resource projects, are hindered by frivolous "environmental justice" lawsuits, regulatory demands, and outsiders with personal agendas; such as people lobbying to stop a solar farm in a place they don't even live or have any financial stake in, simply because they disagree with solar energy.
Regulatory burden is IMO the single greatest impediment to American environmental, energy, and manufacturing progress. It's simply not worth it anymore for developers given how heavily the system is unfairly tilted against them.
Besides nuclear, the only other option is fossil fuels.
Putting renewables “in opposition to” nuclear (instead of “in addition to”) is just advocating for more fossil fuel.
Korea averages less than 5 years and the Japanese have managed one in less than four.
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2016/10/123_215869...
As usual a corrupt Federal bureaucracy captured by the oil and gas industry applies laws which allows the them to make up new rules and conditions as they go along.
In any other industry experience gained from earlier builds would go into improving future builds
I think about 10% nuclear is a reasonable prediction midpoint (coincidentally the same as it is now, but the total generation will be higher), but that means I think no nuclear is about as likely as 20% nuclear and I take the "mostly nuclear" prediction from the trailer even less seriously than I would a no nuclear plan.
Countries which have had nuclear leaks or meltdowns: 15.
Number of nuclear leaks and meltdowns since 1952 (only those which resulted in loss of human life or >US$50K property damage): ~100.
About 60% of those have been in the USA, allegedly the most advanced country in the world.
Note that the USA requirements for nuclear reactor waste (yes, they produce toxic waste; they are not clean), last time I checked, required the canisters to be able to survive for 300 years. The waste lasts longer than 300 years.
Two years ago the USA had a leak which spilled ~400,000 gallons of radioactive water into a major river system, and it was covered up for two years.
Finally: If you are not willing to have a nuclear reactor right beside your house, but are willing to have one beside someone else's house, you are a coward and are not really in favour of nuclear power.
40% of the electricity globally is generated with coal.
It also produces something like 25% of greenhouse emissions.
It has been like this for half a century?
Waiting for the renewables and batteries really isn’t working out.
We’ve squandered decades, and could have bought ourselves an extra few decades.
So it really is 'apples vs. oranges' when comparing nuclear v. coal.
If you are not willing to have a pig farm right beside your house, but are willing to have one beside someone else's house, you are a hypocrite and should not really be eating meat.
number of people who could live next to a dam: "small"
number of people who could live next a nuclear power plant: "much, much larger"
I used to live in a small city on the coast that was a 20 minute drive from a nuclear plant and also downstream from a hydroelectric dam.
- Biomass 4.63
- Brown coal 32.72
- Coal 24.62
- Gas 2.82
- Hydropower 1.30
- Nuclear 0.03
- Oil 18.43
- Solar 0.02
- Wind 0.04
Source: Markandya & Wilkinson (2007); Sovacool et al. (2016); UNSCEAR (2008; & 2018)
Nuclear energy is one of the safest forms of energy we have.
But even if you could avoid an extremely large number of immediate and long-term deaths from the accident, suddenly having to evacuate and relocate tens of millions of people overnight would take most countries to the brink of collapse.
And none of that even takes into account how completely uncompetitive nuclear energy is in economic terms, how long it would take to build new plans, and that long-term storage of radioactive waste still lacks a proper solution despite decades of work. It's a dead technology, and the time has come to stop wasting resources on trying to make it work when those could be used much more productively to accelerate the move towards renewables.
And if you would like to dispute my claim of negligible deaths or injuries, please tell me what percentage of a whole is considered negligible for you? 1%? 0.1%? I'd like to use that information to tailor my reply to your response.
Nuclear is extremely price competitive if you actually force carbon producing power generation methods to pay to clean up the pollution they emit. Which is something we require of nuclear but for some reason not any other.
> long-term storage of radioactive waste still lacks a proper solution despite decades of work.
This is both a solved problem and also a non-problem. Advanced nuclear reactor designs have effectively zero waste.
> It's a dead technology, and the time has come to stop wasting resources on trying to make it work when those could be used much more productively to accelerate the move towards renewables
It's not dead?
Really?
Price competitive with fossil fuels. Still 10x the cost of renewables. Please do implement a carbon price though.
Also they don't clean up. There are unremediated uranium mines, nuke plants, mills, and plutonium separation facilities all over the world that are just left for the public to deal with while any money set aside is embezzeled or is only a fraction of what is needed for cleanup.
> This is both a solved problem and also a non-problem. Advanced nuclear reactor designs have effectively zero waste.
Closed fuel cycles are not a thing.
It's never happened. It's not on the drawing board. No series program is trying. The one reactor that allegedly could have a breeding ratio over one is used in a plutonium shell game and achieves nothing other than a small boost in fuel economy for some other reactors and to keep some weapons grade plutonium ready.
Reprocessing does nothing other than spew fission products everywhere.
It also intentionally ignores the hundreds of thousands of mining and mill workers and indiginous people living near unremediated mines in India, Uzbekistan, Niger, Usa, Kazakhstan, Mayak, and so on.
Therefore sharks are infinitely safer than cars as a form of transport.
It may be mathematically true, but it's still stupid.
And how concentrated was that?
Do you mind comparing it with the damage done by oil and coal powered stations or even hydro?
But I don't see anyone calling for an end to hydroelectric power. Fission power certainly has it's issues, but I think a lot of the opposition to it is more emotional than rational.
You must not be looking very hard then, plenty folks object to hydroelectric power.
But, to be fair, you almost never hear about the direct risks to humans, only their affect on the ecosystem.
I think if you asked most people whether the dam upstream from their home could burst and kill them, they'd say "that can't happen anymore", whereas if you asked about the nuclear plant upwind from their house, they'd say "yes, nuclear plants are fundamentally unsafe". That's the opposite of what you'd say if you just looked at the number of historical deaths, which is why I suspect it does not come from a cold-blooded look at those statistics, but from somewhere else.
Did anyone even make this point? What's more I don't think any one wants any kind of power plant next to their house. That's why they're zoned.
There are no more supporters of nuclear than people who live and work in this industry. So if you are trying to say that people who live next to NPP are “against” it, you say a wrong statement.
How radioactive? Bananas are "radioactive" and so are you. As far as I can tell the amount didn't actually pose a health risk to anyone.
> If you are not willing to have a nuclear reactor right beside your house, but are willing to have one beside someone else's house, you are a coward and are not really in favour of nuclear power.
I would live near a nuclear reactor. I wouldn't prefer it, as the cooling towers are unsightly. But I wouldn't be worried about safety. Definitely preferable to living next to a coal plant!
The US is massive. Why would any American who doesn't work at a nuclear plant ever expect to live anywhere near one?
Are you willing to have a smoking a coal plant right beside your house? You are aware that they release orders of magnitude more radiation than a nuclear power plant, and are orders of magnitude more likely to have a disaster happen to them, right?
Makes his experts look like kooks if they claim "mostly nuclear" is the way forward.
The solution will probably be nuclear for base, renewable for excess and storage to balance the difference.
But talk is cheap, lets actually do it.
Channel the excess into carbon removal. What's there to loose?
Currently it takes a forrest of wind generators, each on a tower, to replace a single (albeit much larger) generator continously and precisely spun as a steam turbine from (say) coal fired heat sources.
Solar takes acres of rare eath films, and solar+wind needs some form of load smoothing via energy storage so there's additional demand if massive battery banks are used (pumped hydro, heat in sodium, other alternatives exist but not always applicable).
Photovoltaics, by comparison [2]:
Solar PV generation increased by a record 179 TWh (up 22%) in 2021 to exceed 1 000 TWh.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentrated_solar_power[2] https://www.iea.org/reports/solar-pv
All up a hell of a difference (so far) in generation capacity.
In an ideal future we'll see a lot more large CSP plants making better per GW usage of rare earths.
https://www.evwind.es/2017/05/31/rare-earths-and-wind-turbin...
Nuclear power is not really that clean, and long-term maintenance or dismantling of nuclear power plants is problematic.
Also, while I think we've been under the influence of powerful lobbies linked to oil/coal interests, nuclear power is also an industry with powerful and active lobbies.
We should not discount solar and wind based energy production, they are beating expectations and are turning out to be a serious option.
Things that are covered well and faithful to the evidence:
* Basically all the parts of the movie which are set in Dealey Plaza (reconstructed like no other film has done before or since)
* Oswald's background and enigmatic lifestyle
* The activities at the Carousel Club
* Dean Andrews
* Sylvia Odio and the Mexico City incident
* Guy Banister, Jack Martin, and the 544 Camp Street leaflets
* Vernon Bundy
* The voter registration witnesses
* The apparent Oswald impersonations
* George de Mohrenschildt
* The autopsy
Things that aren't covered so well:
* Claw Shaw (some of the evidence against him is just fabricated in the film, which is very frustrating)
* David Ferrie (some parts good, others not)
* Jim Garrison's personal life (eg incorrectly depicting the Shaw interview as happening on Easter Sunday to win personal favor - nauseating)
* "Janet and Bill Williams", obviously the Paines
* "Mr. X", while an accurate portrayal of Fletcher Prouty, it gives an inaccurate impression of the timeline of the case
Many people object to the composite character ("Willie O'Keefe") played by Kevin Bacon, but this doesn't bother me. I think it's about as good as you can do with those characters without making the film another hour longer to tell each of their backgrounds.
Overall, I think that JFK does a good job of presenting the most important evidence that Kennedy was killed as the result of a conspiracy (something I assert is very likely), and does so in a way which is likely to prompt viewers to do additional research.
It's not as hard on every fact as I wish it were, but it's still way above the mean for a historical film.
Stone has also published a 600 page book in response to the hullaballo surrounding the film, inviting and platforming his strongest critics (and responses to them), along with a painstaking bibliography of essentially every fact asserted in the film. [0] I think that deserves commendation; commitment to this degree of dialogue is very rare for a Hollywood film.
there are too many government-sized subsidies all over the allegedly (but not really, not at all) free energy market. the energy market is too important to allow 'the market' to fully control it; so it's intervened with subsidies, tax-breaks, and other such kinds of influences (soft controls).
so many, and I know/understand so little about this, that I don't think it's necessarily more efficient. the centralized aspect of it (the historical norm for electrical grids) creates POWER besides the electrical.
Refineries for petroleum are centralized choke points, as are the distribution networks. The same tends to be true for natural gas.
The energy return on investment for oil has been falling, from 100:1 for the early wells, to as little as 2:1 in fracking.
We need to give up fossil fuels.
nuclear is still based on fuel.
P.S. Specially for people who “if you don’t live nearby: shut up”, I have lived near NPP my entire childhood and both of my parents worked 30+ years in this industry.
However the public debate around nuclear is pretty much meaningless until there's a revolution in nuclear technology:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35159449
Research on nuclear tech is continuing apace, without being influenced by public debate. There are plenty of sites that would love to have new nuclear if such a tech revolution happens, especially at existing NPP.
[1] https://twitter.com/_hannahritchie/status/163712120205237452...
France's attempts inside France, Finland, and the UK all look like Vogtle. There's all Summer in the US, which fared even worse than Vogtle.
For US construction, Vogtle is a best case scenario, matching the disasters of the very last US disasters as well as European construction costs.
There is no financial backer that will continue to throw away money like what was done at Vogtle. The next US reactor definitely needs to be something massively different.
The SMR might be the next tech, and the BWRX-300 is somehow dubiously cast as an SMR, but "pushing forward" is just some press releases without much chance of success.
And that's the fundamental problem with nuclear, it's all hopes and dreams and press releases, along with missing deadlines and budgets if a sufficiently large fool can be found to front the money.
It's not.
> That solar and wind will never meet the world’s energy requirements is also true.
It isn't.
See Tesla Master Plan Part 3.[0]
LiFePO4 batteries can easily scale to the required level, and require no scarce minerals (namely cobalt and nickel). Lithium itself is abundant even outside of China.
Also a tiny fraction of the land used for fossil fuel infrastructure.
And able to colocate with other uses.