Is OpenAI going to make jobs obsolete?

It doesn't take AGI to do away with jobs, I saw them going away from simple spread of word processing software, even something as primitive as word perfect for apple IIe was enough to put a whole chunk of typists out of work in the 80s.

VisiCalc got rid of most accounting jobs only to be replaced by accounting jobs that required VisiCalc skills. So it's doubtful in the long run anyone is going to get rid of jobs.

If AI successfully progresses to AGI, then that becomes a potential reality. However, from the current point until then is a vast gap of uncertainty.

There is a lot of focus on creating an "aligned" AGI. Theory being that it will be benevolent and helpful.

However, there is little focus on the societal ramifications that will happen on our pursuit towards AGI. Before we even make it there, the question is can we maintain a stable social order? Can we keep sanity as we enter an era of unverifiable truth and reality?

There are so many possibilities I have began writing about them more extensively here in much greater detail FYI - https://dakara.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-end-to-all-things

Maybe not obsolete, but I am deeply convinced it will reduce the demand for simpler forms of human work in IT in the long run.

A few months in, and it already has a potential to massively (2x, 3x) increase the efficiency for certain types of developer jobs.

If a good developers teamed with a capable AI engine can do their work plus the work of a few juniors, that’s got to reduce the demand for the equivalent amount of that particular human work in the long run.

Personally I think the AI hype will slow down in next year or 2 when we see that nothing can replace human brain completely. Some jobs may get automated but they always have been since history of mankind.

I am personally not concerned at all. At best, AI will be a useful supplement. I am not that optimistic though considering how hyped it has been.

It will reduce jobs drastically for sure, whether OpanAI or another LLM. What happens next is anyone's guess.