It's constantly trying to farm work abroad and looks at every possible way to cut costs. And it's dominated by young, naïve devs and artists who don't understand the market and are "passionate" about the product.
Things like "how do I make a debug cheat command to increase player speed" would be a simple question that would send a jr programmer spending time asking around and poking through many areas of code (how do I make a debug command? oh It's imgui? how do I do that? what controls player speed?) but if an AI could provide a working example immediately that would be a huge time saver that would accelerate the new programmers' understanding of the codebase.
I see LLM models not as the end of society, just as new powerful productivity tools.
This is because you're used to normal technological development scaling. Unfortunately with AI we are unsure at this point if our old paradigms still apply.
What happens with society really depends on where we are on the technology growth curve. If LLMs plateau for a while and we don't see significant growth in their abilities, then we'll just see pretty massive technological disruption and reshifting of human priorities, kind of like when the car or plane showed up. On the other hand, if we pop the AGI rabbit out of the top hat in short order it is going to surface deep fundamental problems that humans world wide have been ignoring because of the status quo has not demanded such rapid change.
LLMs are impressive at natural language processing (which is a damn hard problem to solve), and can both parse and generate natural language at a satisfactory level. It's an interesting facet of AI, but it also has some glaring limitations for wider use.
I'd agree, but it's not good to forget that every few decades a new shiny toy shines so brightly that it razes two whole cities to the ground in seconds.
Again, if we are close to AGI every single one of your past ideas on how technology should behave is outdated and done for.
I didn't say we were going to get AGI, and I said it's completely possible we are going plateau out. But if we create general intelligence it will be as if we have created fire, or the wheel, it will present a profound and drastic change in technological capabilities that it will reshape all of humanity.
Eh, I think AGI is still science fiction
The real question I have is 1) how close are we to human replacement AGI levels, and 2) even if we don't get full AGI, how much of a societal shakeup is going to occur with what we have.
We are already at the point of digital development that the argument of "We dont have AGI" is mostly meaningless. We need to have discussions at a societal and legal level on what we're going to do to prepare our lives for it occurring sooner than later to avoid catastrophic consequences.
We have been replacing humans for a long time, with animals, machines, computing, robotics and now some limited AI.
I can't answer about how much of a shakeup it will be. I fully expect the world to get worse as time passes. Enjoy things while they last.
> We are already at the point of digital development that the argument of "We dont have AGI" is mostly meaningless. We need to have discussions at a societal and legal level on what we're going to do to prepare our lives for it occurring sooner than later to avoid catastrophic consequences.
I agree with discussions on societal and legal level to reduce impact of technology on humans, but I fully expect those discussions to go nowhere and catastrophic consequences happening either way.
Surely there are differences between some of them, or are they all the same to you?
Literally everyone of those were massively hyped and sold as "the future"
This is not to dismiss the current trend of AI. Hell, I pay for ChatGPT premium and love to play with StableDiffusion. But I do get bored at all the LARPing about how how LLM is just a step from AI taking over the world.
For VR, many saw through the hype due to its inconveniences and minimal benefits. If VR had tapped into our nerves then things would’ve been different. No rational person expected this.
Wearables are the future, depending on if you have any medical issues or not. You misinterpreted the hype likely because you’re not seeing the medical applications.
Crypto replaced money and banks. Anybody with an idea of the function of money in a society also saw through this one.
AI is different. It aims to replace a human brain. 5 years ago if you told me a program could listen to me literally speak and then write code that not only compiles, but works, with non trivial requirements, Id have laughed at you. Yet here we are.