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I agree that the social aspect "where everyone is" is important, but crucially it's also not a fixed state. When GitHub started, SourceForge was where everything was. Over the next 15 years something else may displace GitHub, especially if there is a concerted, conscious effort to do so. Then again, it may not.

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Sourceforge lacked the social network status. It was just a place where people put their source code and binaries. But there was not a lot of interaction on the platform.

To kick off that effort to replace Github, lots of money would be needed and some incentive to get people off Github. I.e. a busines model and some added value. Hard to see where that would come from right now. Github did not displace source forge by doing the same but by doing something better.

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