> the nuclear power was replaced with wind + solar

Between 2021 and 2022 Germany's share of electricity from Nuclear declined from 12.6 to 6.3%, coal increased from 30.2 to 33.3% [0]

In a hypothetical scenario where Germany didn't reduce nuclear generating capacity what do you think is the likeliest amount of electricity generated from coal?

a. higher than 33.3%

b. lower than 33.3%

If you think that answer is (b) than decision to shut down nuclear did indeed increase coal usage as compared to hypothetical 2022 with nuclear not closed

If you instead think that answer is (a) I would be interested in hearing the reasoning.

[0] https://www.destatis.de/EN/Press/2023/03/PE23_090_43312.html