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I feel like discord has long since won this battle. It was over as soon as nearly every subreddit started to create community discords.

Which is still a bad thing as now all that hoarded reddit data that comes up when I look for problem solutions is going to move to tech support discord channels for that community and vanish from the public web.

The social media site cycle iterates again. I hope Discord takes a while to go to fall apart, it is nice for small group chats (just a couple old friends); it will be a pain to replace that platform.

Discord already started it's enshitification with the 'pay to get your preferred username' goldrush.

I think the 10% active participants will be happy with discord. I'm less sure the other 90% lurkers will.