That doesn't mean it's not possible or that a savvy entrepreneur shouldn't estimate market size today.
The flying car example you give is correct. Yes, I fully agree that a flying car (at right price point and specs) would have a huge TAM. That doesn't make it inherently investible (though I nite a number of companies have received investment in this space). There is a huge difference between a huge TAM is desirable, maybe even necessary and a huge TAM is all you need. You seem to think people are arguing for the latter, when they are arguing the former.
I fully agree that the educational software space maybe huge. As such building an app to capture a portion of that might well be worth doing! I think you just demonstrated the power of thinking in terms of TAM - while X doesn't look huge on the surface, it's actually just the first steps to Y which is.