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Reality is biased towards the fast-moving scenario, so long as we aren’t running into the bounds of physics, which as far as I can tell we’re not. Kurzweil was much more right than he was wrong. The opposite is true of people who strongly disagreed with him and called him a quack.

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The transhumanist movement has more than its fair share of quacks, but I think Kurzweil is enough of a scientist to take his arguments a bit more serious. That said, I'm getting pretty tired of all the mind uploading, eternal life and other afterlife nonsense. That to me is just religion in a new jacket.

Ya there isn’t enough talk of the more medium-term, practical uses of AI. I don’t care about mind uploading or AI doom risk. Will AI make stuff cheaper and better? Will it incrementally improve my life? I think the answers are yes and yes. That’s where the focus should be. Where and how can AI can help in construction, finance, medicine, etc…

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