Is de novo gasoline or diesel synthesis profitable at proximate prices?
Is de novo gasoline or diesel synthesis profitable at proximate prices?
Everything that can be electrified, will be electrified, because it's more efficient. It seems like shipping & aviation are probably the hold-outs.
I used to think this was the way, especially for balancing the grid, but the more I read [4-7], the more it looks like batteries will be used for fluctuations <1 day, and demand adaptation for longer periods. Some of that adaptive demand may wind up being used for hydrocarbon synthesis, but I don't expect it to compete with fossil fuels for a long time, if ever.
[0] https://prometheusfuels.com/
[3] https://www.terraformindustries.com/
[4] https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adapen.2021.100051
[5] https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.007
[6] https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2019.11.009
[7] https://www.liebreich.com/the-clean-hydrogen-ladder-now-upda...
As for profitable, it's perfectly profitable for meeting its goals of predatory delay. The longer fossil fuel companies can string along useful idiots, the longer they can continue being profitable.
Where I live, the fossil gas industry has been running ads promoting green hydrogen, and of course fossil gas as a clean "bridge technology" to H2. So just keep running that gas heating system, cuz it'll switchover to H2, for sure, at some decade in the future.
Profitability approximates economic sustainability.
If this fuel costs $100/gallon, it's cheaper and thus more sustainable to aggressively subsidize EVs before synthesising fuel. If, on the other hand, it costs $6/gallon, funding its production with a tax on fossil fuels makes sense.
Rejecting reality "to save humanity" is a false economy.