Satellite supergroup spots methane super-emitters
innovationorigins.com
innovationorigins.com
I am always wondering why we constrain ourself in the case of fighting climate change. Yes, all spending will at some point have to be accounted for, but it is relatively easy for governments to borrow money if the political will exists.
To reduce global CO2 emissions to zero the estimates are in the range of 100-200% of global GDP. This seems to be an amount of money that could easily be raised as debt or created via monetary policy. What is holding back such an investment?
Typical developed country debt/GDP ratio is around 50-100%. So same order of magnitude as the green transition, but still, add 100-200% to it and you tripl your debt or so. That's non trivial in a world where increasing the debt by 5% in a year is seen as a lot.
And I don’t mean that it isn’t true that we could try harder, I just mean that sometimes “trying harder” seems to make the problem worse rather than better.
I can think of a few problems like this:
- homelessness
- cost of college
- healthcare
- housing
I’m not sure if the critical factor is that the issues are morally charged and so encourage effort-heavy policies or if it’s because “trying harder” is really a supply-side subsidy, meaning money for healthcare providers or colleges or landlords. In practice at least it seems that supply side subsidies without cost controls are essentially useless, as the cost of the subsidized good rises to match the subsidy.
For a beautiful case study in this, in 2007 or so when they were turning off analog TV the US government allowed each household two vouchers worth up to $40 to buy a converter box, (provided the box did not offer a digital output). (Not) shockingly, not until these vouchers expired did any boxes come on the market priced under $40, even though they were not complex or expensive in cost.
I think the next few years will show you why unchecked borrowing is a bad thing. Ultimately, the people who lose their homes pay for it.
> To reduce global CO2 emissions to zero the estimates are in the range of 100-200% of global GDP. This seems to be an amount of money that could easily be raised as debt or created via monetary policy. What is holding back such an investment?
Where are those numbers coming from? So far we have invested a significant amount and not seen anywhere close to those returns on investment.
Not only this, but in what Universe is 200% global GDP sustainable?
> This seems to be an amount of money that could easily be raised as debt or created via monetary policy.
Ultimately, somebody always foots the bill - and it's normally the poorest people who lose the most. What you're asking for is for these people to suffer. I don't consider this an acceptable trade.
https://www.state.gov/dipnote-u-s-department-of-state-offici...
I'm curious if this has the potential to make a big difference, if there are e.g. pipeline leaks costing companies a lot of money that this can find, where the emitters have an incentive to fix it.
Or if will be largely useless, because all the unknown culprits turn out to be natural sources we can't do anything about, or industrial processes in places where enforcement is lax already and it won't change anything.
[0] https://scihub.copernicus.eu/twiki/do/view/SciHubWebPortal/W...
[1] https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/...
Most potent is h2o (water vapor). The warmer the air, the more water vapor is held. Water retains an incredible amount of heat energy as well.
But very few articles talk about it.
In general, warming the earth is a runaway effect. More co2 means warmer air and oceans. This means more water retained in air and less in oceans. Which means even more warning. Warmer earth means less ice which reflects sunlight. Less ice means even warmer planet.
Venus is a great example of earth’s distant future if we don’t get the runaway warming under control.
Crude oil is the greatest blessing for human growth, but May also be a curse in disguise.
Perhaps our governments could add a carbon tariff or something, if it is relatively easy to measure how much carbon is being emitted and where.
[1] https://www.texastribune.org/2023/07/19/callon-permian-basin...
One person living alone on a private island who cooks food on a fire several times a day might have a really high 'per capita' score, but in the grand scheme of things it's utterly irrelevant.
Consumption? China is a huge emitter, but a large percentage of that comes from making products destined for America and Europe. IMO the emissions for those products should be assigned to the country that is purchasing them.
Unless we were to consider the whole of the EU as the unit of carbon-blame.
Hypothetically, nation A could generate pollution wastefully, while nation B could do so less wastefully, but provide 10x as much.
Eg.
“ The hydrocarbon emissions from a half-hour of yard work with the two-stroke leaf blower are about the same as a 3,900-mile drive from Texas to Alaska in a Raptor," said Jason Kavanagh, Engineering Editor at Edmunds.com.”
https://www.edmunds.com/about/press/leaf-blowers-emissions-d...
I'm also willing to bet China's population is smaller than they say. And I'd also bet their emissions are higher than they say. Nothing that comes out of China's mouth can be trusted.
We obviously have to account for it per capita — you would surely not allow as little CO2 emission for China as you would to, say, Hungary. Like, that would be completely unfair.
It's also much easier to convince someone that "no more X for you" is fair if you have a cheaper and better alternative to X. We're getting there for that.
Countries are very arbitrary lines on a geopolitical map.
Take Europe and India, they have roughly similar landmass , number of people and linguistic diversity so why European states get their own measures and Indian states do not ?
If you don’t measure per capita , you are effectively seeing all humans are not equal, some have more rights and privileges than others , that is dangerously close to how slavery operated
On the other hand, we could measure per gdp and see who generated the most value from that pollution. This would probably help the US relative to other nations in ranking. It may hint at how efficiently the consumption is.
Of course economic output isn’t everything in life, there’s other ways to determine value and fairness and all that, but it’s be an interesting comparison to per capita.
Eg. The hydrocarbon emissions from a half-hour of yard work with the two-stroke leaf blower are about the same as a 3,900-mile drive from Texas to Alaska in a Raptor," said Jason Kavanagh, Engineering Editor at Edmunds.com.
https://www.edmunds.com/about/press/leaf-blowers-emissions-d...
A first-pass attempt could be for countries that want to do something about the problem to start up some sort of carbon credit market, with heavy tariffs for goods imported from outside the market.
Would the use of force need to be unaimous, super majority, simple majority, or a unilateral decision?
Obv such a decision would be a vetoable Security Council authorization. Certainly this would still be less provocative to the world community than a unilateral attack, such as a US sub attacking a plant in the former USSR, or China attacking a plant on the coast of the Gulf of Mexico.
And I guess it would be a last resort, after making an offer to fly in the tech and know-how to flare the methane instead. "Get me Red Adair on the hotline NOW!"
This often correlates to either accidents that have not been detected/fixed, to deliberate pollution for financial again, or to something nobody realized was significant before.
What do these words mean? Why would anyone do it and how can they gain something? I am suspecting greenwashing, but please clarify if possible.
In this case it's "correlates to", rather than "correlates do".
"Thing {X} often correlates to {y}, to {z}, or to {w}."
Do you really think some large consistent emitter is going to stop just because they show up on a satellite image?
natural gas is basically methane, you can use that to fuel your energy needs. seems like a waste.