California Forever
californiaforever.com
californiaforever.com
It was a wasted neighborhood, with parking lots, old motels, fast food, and a Hooters.
Two billionaires that I’m not super fond of, Paul Allen and Jeff Bezos, put a bunch of money on the line to make a pretty nice, walkable area, with restaurants and parks and whatnot. I’m glad they did.
Who knows if these people can pull this off - it wouldn’t surprise me if they don’t - but I wish them the best.
California, legendary NIMBYs included, built the most prosperous and popular state in the nation, with its largest and fastest growing companies, with more innovation and scientific discovery than any other part of the country, with by far the best public university system in the country, and with maximal tolerance for immigrants and people with uncommon religious beliefs, sexual and gender inclinations, and approaches to work and life generally.
It was historically flexible enough about development to accommodate more people than any other state. I wouldn’t be so cynical as to think that greenfield development in a place where basically no one is now will not win over a substantial part of the population (even if some of the supporters would oppose the project if it was in their own metaphorical backyard).
As an ex Californian I know as well as anyone how easy it can be to take the state’s many unique strengths for granted when you live there. But believe me, you miss a lot of it when you leave, and you also realize most other states face similar problems, or will, including with nimbyism, homelessness, addiction, you name it.
California is great and retains the capacity to surprise. And I think one of the strongest pieces of evidence for that is even the critics building this development away from everyone else in the state still called it California Forever.
think how great california could have been if it hadn't stopped growing and the immense economic output had been harnessed over the past decades. SF would be amongst the largest cities in the world.
For example, even if only 10% of new residents insisted on driving a car no matter what for daily transportation, due to whatever personal reasons, then that would still be enough to put the city in permanent gridlock all day.
https://www.sfmta.com/blog/how-people-traveled-through-san-f...
Plenty of room. Panhandle upper deck, pave Dolores and GG parks. Bulldoze The Mission and Hayes like the Fillmore was... Plenty of room for flying car landing pads and Manhattanization. Utopia denied.
Anyway, SF has desicively destroyed whatever formerly made it unique. The arts community has been extirpated by the housing cost crisis. Even the gay rights activists don't live there any more. The whole city has been hollowed out by Boomers like Cleve Jones who live elsewhere and maintain their vacant pieds-à-terre in prime SF neighborhoods.
I remember Sunnyvale downtown projects were abandoned you can explain it but the reality is they (developers and city) did not meet their commitments and it leaves a bad taste. I saw aggressive campaigning myself in front of Cupertino library which was in line with reports of aggression and manhandling that the opposition to Valco talked about. And I supported the NIMBYs even though I was a renter because the opposition was just so ham handed.
So when citizens feel overpowered, in mega cities they don't have much choice but in mini cities they can have a say, and they do revolt and get called nimbys. If we had double the nimbys maybe the construction corporates will try a better faith negotiation with them. No?
There was a good Joeys, Chandler’s crab house, and more which died during the wait. Now it’s Amazon central with carbon copies of restaurants from other places and ridiculous lines. Not a locals spot. It does look better now, and is walkable during work, but to find many day-to-day basic services requires leaving the neighborhood.
Originally there was a Central Park plan that Vulcan proposed, but when that didn’t pan out they gave up on development for a couple decades.
Denny Park used to be a huge green space for gathering, with outdoor movies and concerts, but those parcels have been bought from the city and sold against the wish of the commons. They’ve also closed the basketball courts (!?).
https://www.seattletimes.com/business/vulcan-plans-to-replac...
https://www.globest.com/2022/04/19/biomed-realty-buys-seattl...
https://crosscut.com/2015/12/south-lake-union-could-have-bee...
> The person at most fault for the failure of the Seattle Commons is Paul Allen. The billionaire co-founder of Microsoft asked voters to approve $250 million in new taxes to build the park. During the second Commons campaign Allen made $1 billion during a stock rally on a single day.
> the Commons-less SLU is a neighborhood without a center, a heart, or a great park.
This is extremely dishonest reporting. So what that he made a billion in a single day? He probably also lost a billion some other day...
If he didn't make a billion in a day, would he not be at fault for the failure?
Seattle needs housing more than anything, and I’m glad they added a ton when they developed the area.
https://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/26/us/as-amazon-stretches-se...
https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/community/amazon-return-to-...
South Lake Union has added ~6000 units in the last decade.
https://www.point2homes.com/US/Neighborhood/WA/Seattle/South...
https://kidder.com/wp-content/uploads/trend_article/2023-Apa...
Employment to housing is like a 6:1 ratio. All those units are full. There is less housing per employee in the area now.
Now the Kraken office took over the Joey restaurant spot. And nothing is in the Hooters or Chandlers locations. Duke’s also moved out of that dock area to a larger location east but the service leaves something to be desired.
If SLU is your model for what California Forever could be... uh... I don't think that many people will willingly choose to live there.
The Big Plan: History of Irvine and UCI, From Ranch to Global Community
I fail to see why we would hail Irvine as a great city when it's just a money maker for the Irvine company as a generic suburb.
They just happened to develop land that was in high demand due to its proximity to the coast, what else does it have going for it?
That sounds like ideal American suburb which a lot of Americans seem to prefer. If not, by now we would have seen it getting decayed.
> as a generic suburb
What's wrong with generic suburbs?
> They just happened to develop land that was in high demand due to its proximity to the coast
Seems to fit description of this new place too (proximity to SV and SF)
Of course a lot of people prefer their expenses get subsidized.
They've also created a very popular 'urban-esque' area by the Irvine Spectrum, where numerous automotive HQs are, Amazon has a large presence, all within walking distance of a huge number of mid rise apartments.
>I fail to see why we would hail Irvine as a great city
It's one of the most popular places right now to move to. It may not be your preference, but it seems it's popular enough to have prices go through the roof.
How many people actually walk in Irvine? Based on the number of highways and lanes through Irvine, you will have a very difficult time convincing me it's different from most suburbs where you leave your house and jump into a car to do anything.
Putting a "grocery store" or a "handful" of restaurants near a home is useless is they don't want to use that store or restaurant. I end up having to drive 15-30 minutes RT to get to a TJ's or ALDI because the Ralph's where I live is incredibly overpriced and has horrible selection of fresh fruits and veggies.
> It's one of the most popular places right now to move to Where is the data for this claim? The data I see doesn't list OC as growing. [1] The only articles saying Irvine is one of the fastest growing cities is usually local Irvine news sites and they don't even cite any data for the last year. [2]
[1] https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-04-05/here-are... [2] https://spectrumnews1.com/ca/orange-county/inside-the-issues...
Home prices are a good indicator. I'm talking Irvine specifically, home prices have skyrocketed in the last 15 years.
You might not be aware because you haven't looked for a home in the last 10 years?
According to redfin the city I live in (adjacent to Irvine) is in the top 10 in California but that is only because there have been a rapid rise of new developments that are significantly more sq ft than the average house.
The right metric is to check YoY model matches in various neighborhoods to see, but that isn’t reported on.
Word of warning, Irving is not a safe space for queer folk.
You would think that Irving (in the heart of the D/FW metroplex) would be a place you would encounter homophobia, given the popular opinion of Texas. But people there seemed to not care who I was holding hands with.
I guess they had to scramble to hire some PR firm to spin their plans to Solano County residents and had to come up with something. But completely glossing over what they actually intend to do - attract techies and technology jobs - seems kind of like an insult to the intelligence of the people this is addressed to.
> This project can bring new employers to Solano, and independently create thousands of permanent, good-paying local jobs in construction, energy, services, and other industries. We are also interested in building trade schools and other educational paths that help Solano residents learn the skills they need to get those new jobs and build long-lasting careers
Perfectly manicured lawns and open green spaces. Everyone has a purpose. Housing and facilities are planned to meet needs. Walkable environment where cars are often times banned. Wifi everywhere. Health services are provided for all residents. Maker spaces are still a thing on campuses providing access to fabrication equipment, 3d printers, etc. Libraries with access to any book or journal article you could want. There's a strong sense of community and comradery - even strangers feel connected to one another. Even the police are nicer, as they try to build a lot of good will with the community.
It's easy to meet people and engage in activities and hobbies. You can walk to a show put on by the local orchestra or drama group, go to a game played by the local team, eat food prepared by the local culinary students, or visit an art exhibition featuring world-famous or local artists. Or you can get involved in any of these activities by playing music or sports or making art!
And that's not to mention the world-class lectures and research that happen all the time.
When I graduated and went into the "real world" I was isolated and alone. Everything felt so chaotic and unorganized, and a huge step down from the kind of close community I was used to. In the "real world" everything seems centered around commerce and consumerism instead of people. I was unable to find anything like I had experienced in college, so I just went back and never left.
Don't want to have to cook all the time, nor go to fast food, et al. Having a default place on site is crucial.
I dont see how it scales outside of a college community.
Scaling is a problem though, that's for sure, although many colleges are in fact towns outright (like Penn State). However, there's a big incentive for colleges to turn into hedge funds/real-estate holding firms which works against the educational mission of universities IMO.
As for overpriced... I mean, you get what you pay for. I don't think it's overpriced because I've tried the alternative, and I've found it lacking. Although I see several avenues to cut costs while keeping service levels.
But if you think college campuses are just for the students, you're missing half the picture!
I guess my point is, even college administrators from Texas can eventually learn that affordable housing for students and staff can be a benefit.
You go from your two car garage to Costco and back on an SUV with nothing in between but roads, gas stations and the occasional McDonald's drive-through.
A college campus and smaller European towns are the polar opposite of that, with mixed zoning, everything being walkable/bikeable, and everybody intermingling in the same space.
Maybe we need something like "Tech Masons" where you have a built-in social group, continuing ed and everyone promises not to disrespect each others' tech stack decisions. "Oh. So you're going with COBOL? I'm sure there are aspects of the project I don't understand that make COBOL the ideal language for that project. Let us grab a beer and talk about inverting trees, brother (and/or sister.)"
As for schools, there is an elementary, middle, and high school within a 3 block radius of the campus. Obviously these are funded by the city, but a lot of that funding of course comes from the school and employees through their taxes, so it's a symbiotic relationship. Many faculty here make it their mission to outreach to these local schools. We have events for children all summer long where they engage in physics, chemistry, computer science / robotics, environmental engineering, art, and music projects etc.
Loud parties are annoying but are only held off campus. There are noise ordinances on campus.
So... congrats... you changed someone's opinion on HN comments. I'm not sure it happens THAT often.
This sounds a lot like a community development project. This sounds very similar to other community development projects like Levittown. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levittown
I don't think the investors in this project are doing this out of the goodness of their hearts even though the brochure website seems to imply that. If I am not mistaken this is a money making venture. They will provide value however by investing and building up Solano.
Built after World War II for returning white veterans and their new families, the communities offered attractive alternatives to cramped central city locations and apartments.
This is not accurate. World War II was the de facto end of The Great Depression and to their shock they were able to produce "more guns and more butter" because unemployment rates had been as high as 30 percent in the previous decade.
There was a tremendous need for housing. During the Great Depression, some people lived in the basement of their house and rented out the house to try to not lose the house. Others moved every thirteen months because if you could pay your rent on time and in full for twelve months in a row, you could get the thirteenth months free.
Levittown was the birth of the modern suburb and it helped resolve a massive need for new housing. It was so successful, we are still haunted by this ghost of Christmas past.
The entire country turned its collective will away from the newly finished war and towards building new housing. They created new policies and financing mechanisms and to this day it is challenging to build anything in the US other than suburban-style single family detached homes because our entire financing and policy infrastructure and collective subconscious supports the idea that a home in the 'burbs is the ideal home.
So we have grown 1950s-style suburban homes to be ugly homes on steroids, a la McMansions, and can't manage to build much else and then we wonder why there are so many homeless.
We are victims of the overwhelming success of Levittown.
I'm aware that racism tended to exclude people of color. I don't think this had much to do with it being the suburbs. If we had built towers of apartments in downtowns, I imagine redlining would have still kept out people of color.
Racism is not why they were suburbs. Them being suburbs is not primarily why people of color were excluded. Racism is people being shitty and they were going to be shitty in this particular way in that particular era regardless of the style of home which helped fill the overwhelming need this country had for additional housing and it finally had the means to build some of that for at least some people.
That shittiness would have been associated with any housing type they built at that time to solve the housing issue. Sorry for the negative association and I wish we would find a path forward on more diversity in housing options, more walkable, mixed-use neighborhoods, more genuinely affordable small spaces, more homes where you can easily live without a car, etc. instead of remaining mired in this same argument about who to blame and who to hate on.
Hating on me doesn't get more housing built. Full stop.
So please kindly find something else to say about my comment. Because this take is not productive.
https://fortune.com/2022/08/06/marc-andreessen-billionaire-n...
So, to reiterate, you're literally just describing a NIMBY.
I know that public transport is currently considered a scary hellhole by the Bay Area HN crowd, but it seems to me that train links to the rest of the Bay Area are a no brainer for a major new community not that far from it.
On top of all this, almost all American cities are built for cars. They are too spread out for public transport to be efficient. That said, buses are an underrated public transportation method, which although much less sexy than a metro, are adaptable and have far less overhead than a subway line.
If more then half the voting population thinks transit needs to be profitable or at least break even, then they will.
How will you convince others to take it seriously if your opposed to a clear majority?
https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/solano-fairfield...
Read somewhere the land acquired was 2x the size of the City of San Francisco.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/31/business/california-solan...
Something has killed enthusiasm and ambition for a better future in many of us. We did it to ourselves.
It is our own responsibility to imagine a better future and to find in ourselves the ambition and commitment to make it real. Seize the moment.
The billionaires backing this aren't doing it for "a better future". I think the mixed/cynical feelings on this are understandable given that billionaires are rarely (ever?) doing anything with a primary goal of the betterment of humanity, whatever their expensive PR may say. That leaves a lot of room for speculation as to their real motives, i.e. how they'll get a return on this investment.
I really hope they expand the transit story
For some decades now, the federal government has periodically made noises about closing Travis AFB. It could serve its mission from anywhere on the West Coast and, last I checked, it was one of two Superfund sites in Solano County.
In IIRC 2018, Amtrak opened a new train station near Travis AFB in line with Solano County's rail plan which was cooked up by the incorporated cities getting together and dividing up the political pie, then hiring a consultant to "pick the best sites for new stations* for each city in question.
In other words, it was not the consultant's job to pick the best rail station sites for the county as a whole. Furthermore, Travis AFB, not being an incorporated city, had no representation at this meeting.
Encroachment is a major factor in deciding to close military installations. Their already built station makes it more likely that Travis will eventually be closed.
It is -- or was when I lived there -- the single largest employer in the county to the tune of a billion dollars annually. This will gut the economy of the county, leave it with a Superfund site to clean up that will be challenging to redevelop and likely create a new Superfund site wherever they decide to relocate the functions of Travis.
Other than that minor detail, it sounds like a nice little plan. I wish them luck.
Random article I googled up that seems to suggest, no, one small airport won't replace a billion dollars annually for the county.
Florida Tech adds that, in 2013, US airports generated around $10 billion in aeronautical revenue.
The AI art definitely gives it a beautiful dystopian / 1984 vibe.
Lots of discussion on this from the numerous news stories about it in the last week
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37266398
A company backed by SV has purchased 52,000 acres to build a new city - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37285804 - Aug 2023 (20 comments)
Silicon Valley elites revealed as investors behind $800M Bay Area land grab - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37279521 - Aug 2023 (118 comments)
A mystery company has purchased thousands of acres to build a new city near SF - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37279223 - Aug 2023 (2 comments)
The Silicon Valley elite who want to build a city from scratch - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37266398 - Aug 2023 (205 comments)
Shadowy Company Buys Land Near Travis AFB - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37146306 - Aug 2023 (4 comments)
'Mystery company' buys land worth $800M near Travis AFB, raising concerns - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36816387 - July 2023 (170 comments)
Walkable cities with great public transport and amenities close by are happy cities.
Site for the Rio Vista Museum: https://riovistamuseum.com/historical-slide-show/
After digging a little more into their lawsuit I am rooting for their success.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EPCOT_(concept)
Later they built they town of "Celebration", but have divested most of it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Celebration,_Florida
What this "California Forever" proposal most reminds me of though is "Golden Oaks", which is Disney's latest attempt, less like a city, more like a large-scale retirement community.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Oak_at_Walt_Disney_Worl...
Has anyone here every been near a large industrial brewery?
It's not exactly the smell you want to smell every day.
But you do you, rich people.
tldr. we were great at planning cities up until the 20's then the depression happened, then WW2 happened. These two events killed off anyone in America who could build a city, the car was invented, and then horrible urban sprawl happened.
Great book.
https://www.thriftbooks.com/w/geography-of-nowhere-the-rise-...
Can't recommend his blog enough: https://kunstler.com/writings/clusterfuck-nation/ .
if the car hadn't been invented yet, how do we know those purported to know how to build cities would know what to do with the cars?
>I am writing this letter to communicate our IMMENSE objection to the creation of multifamily overlay zones in Atherton … Please IMMEDIATELY REMOVE all multifamily overlay zoning projects from the Housing Element which will be submitted to the state in July. They will MASSIVELY decrease our home values, the quality of life of ourselves and our neighbors and IMMENSELY increase the noise pollution and traffic.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/08/marc-andre...
The reality is that not everyone can live here. Should we cut down all the trees and cover Kauai in skyscraper apartments so more people can live there?
I don’t think so.
Even this project is kicking the can (eventually Corusucant). But at least they aren’t coming into someone’s community, that THEY PICKED because of the way it is, and saying oh no no, we need to build an ADU and multi family dwellings everywhere!
Go start something new.
The island of Lanai may never get developed. Thats the only way to preserve things how you want. Otherwise other people's opinions, in places of power, get what they want, regardless of what your want. Just look across the water to Honolulu, which is rife with skyscrapers.
Sadly, the Kauai from years past is already gone. Rose tinted glasses are nice to look at the past with, but amonst the extraordinary natural beauty, modern day Kauai has the same problems as everywhere else. Meth, fentanyl, and a lack of jobs.
Stop giving insanely cheap water to large growers with inefficient water usage practices, and the market will quickly right itself and move production elsewhere. At a more sustainable price, with less ecological imbalance.
I suspect that agricultural users are being charged too little, and so they have too little incentive to be efficient. (Or they are pumping groundwater and paying nothing.) And residential users are being charged more than the service really ought to cost.
The only semi-legitimate justification I can come up with is that there are fixed costs associated with water users, and each residential user uses much less water than an agricultural user. But there are better ways to handle this.
I'm rather sure that America/the world could easily survive a California without crops without much fuss.
https://water.ca.gov/Programs/Water-Use-And-Efficiency/Agric...
I quickly googled and it suggests Sacramento pulls from the rivers and underground, SF gets its supply from Hetch Hetchy.
you got me pegged for the wrong political party. and it aint red or blue.
In fact the imagery on the website furthers my point. Looks like modern apartment buildings and malls, very similar in feel to those in Demolition Man.
They are one of the pioneers of 'master planned' communities, in that they owned almost all of the land that became the city Irvine. They carefully selected various lots for types of homes, which areas would be luxury homes, which would be industrial, which areas would be 'cheaper' homes and the like.
It is a fancy real estate development company, but they're really building cities and reshaping them in a holistic way.
How so?
Dollars don't live in cities, people do.